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SharpXI©
Premier League 26/27
BR

Bryan Mbeumo

Winger 40% of 30 recent starts Man UtdPremier League 26/27

Next match
Man Utd vs Tottenham Hotspur›
Sat 10 OctReferee Stuart Attwell

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Premier League winger, 25/26, 1,770 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.94 per 90
70%
7 of 102.1×
1.40bet365Edge
Total shots3.63 per 90
90%Hot
9 of 101.4×
1.06PPEdge
Fouls won0.70 per 90
50%
5 of 101.0×
1.33PPEdge
Fouls committed0.59 per 90
40%
4 of 101.0×
1.62bet365Edge
Tackles0.82 per 90
50%
5 of 101.0×
30%
3 of 102.7×
Cards0.12 per 90
10%
1 of 101.2×
6.50PPEdge
Goals0.47 per 90
40%
4 of 103.6×
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Over the last 10 Premier League games, Bryan Mbeumo has hit 1+ shot on target in 70% (7 of 10), 1+ total shot in 90%, 1+ foul committed in 40%, 1+ foul won in 50%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable wingers

The closest 5 profiles to Bryan Mbeumo in Premier League, 25/26 — drawn from 60 wingers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Bryan MbeumoManchester United 332.51 0.79
Mohamed SalahLiverpool FC 272.85 0.42
Marcus TavernierBournemouth 342.30 0.99
Harvey BarnesNewcastle United 372.66 0.78
RayanBournemouth 152.25 0.72
Anthony GordonNewcastle United 262.38 0.64
These 5, combined 2.50 0.73

Recent matches

The last 10 games Bryan Mbeumo featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ Fulham20 Sep 90 1 5 1 1 1 0
Man City13 Sep 90 1 3 0 2 1 0
@ Everton6 Sep 90 1 2 2 1 0 0
Ipswich30 Aug 90 1 5 1 1 3 1
@ Hull City22 Aug 90 2 4 0 0 0 0
@ Brighton24 May 74 1 1 0 0 0 0
Nottingham Forest17 May 80 1 6 0 0 0 0
@ Sunderland9 May 15 0 1 0 0 0 0
Liverpool3 May 75 0 4 1 0 1 0
Brentford27 Apr 74 0 0 0 1 1 0
Officials on record
Peter Bankes 13 games Bryan Mbeumo booked in 2 4.23cards/game 1.04×vs league
Darren England 10 games Bryan Mbeumo booked in 2 4.30cards/game 1.05×vs league
Michael Oliver 10 games Bryan Mbeumo booked in 1 3.67cards/game 0.90×vs league
Stuart Attwell 8 games Bryan Mbeumo booked in 1 4.28cards/game 1.05×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 14 current Premier League officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Premier League referees

Frequently asked

How often does Bryan Mbeumo have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Premier League games, Bryan Mbeumo has hit 1+ shot on target in 70% (7 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Bryan Mbeumo average?

Across the last 10 Premier League games, Bryan Mbeumo is averaging 0.94 shots on target and 3.63 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Bryan Mbeumo get booked?

Bryan Mbeumo is averaging 0.12 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Bryan Mbeumo commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Bryan Mbeumo commits 0.59 fouls per 90 and wins 0.70 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Bryan Mbeumo?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Bryan Mbeumo plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.