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SharpXI©
Premier League 26/27
HA

Harvey Barnes

Winger 90% of 30 recent starts NewcastlePremier League 26/27

Next match
Newcastle at Coventry City›
Mon 12 OctReferee John Brooks

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Premier League winger, 25/26, 1,770 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.98 per 90
60%
6 of 101.8×
1.67MGMEdge
Total shots1.96 per 90
90%Hot
9 of 101.4×
1.07PPEdge
Fouls won1.54 per 90
60%
6 of 101.3×
1.33bet365Edge
Fouls committed0.84 per 90
50%
5 of 101.2×
1.73bet365Edge
Tackles0.42 per 90
20%
2 of 100.4×
20%
2 of 101.8×
Cards0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
8.50PPEdge
Goals0.42 per 90
30%
3 of 102.7×
form only
Assists0.42 per 90
20%
2 of 102.4×
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Picked from 41 selections across 14 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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Over the last 10 Premier League games, Harvey Barnes has hit 1+ shot on target in 60% (6 of 10), 1+ total shot in 90%, 1+ foul committed in 50%, 1+ foul won in 60%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable wingers

The closest 5 profiles to Harvey Barnes in Premier League, 25/26 — drawn from 60 wingers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Harvey BarnesNewcastle United 372.66 0.78
Jacob MurphyNewcastle United 332.32 0.50
Samuel ChukwuezeAC Milan 232.09 0.42
Bryan MbeumoManchester United 332.51 0.79
Mohamed SalahLiverpool FC 272.85 0.42
Harry WilsonFulham 362.61 0.43
These 5, combined 2.53 0.53

Recent matches

The last 10 games Harvey Barnes featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
Hull City19 Sep 90 1 2 0 1 0 0
@ Leeds14 Sep 90 2 2 1 1 0 0
Bournemouth5 Sep 90 1 2 2 4 0 0
@ Tottenham29 Aug 89 0 1 1 1 2 0
Liverpool23 Aug 90 0 1 1 3 1 0
@ Fulham24 May 45 0 2 0 0 0 0
West Ham17 May 75 1 2 0 0 0 0
@ Nottingham Forest10 May 29 1 1 0 0 0 0
Brighton2 May 22 1 1 1 1 0 0
@ Arsenal25 Apr 24 0 0 0 0 0 0
Officials on record
Robert Jones 14 games Harvey Barnes booked in 3 4.36cards/game 1.07×vs league
Craig Pawson 12 games Harvey Barnes never booked 3.94cards/game 0.97×vs league
Peter Bankes 9 games Harvey Barnes never booked 4.23cards/game 1.04×vs league
Michael Salisbury 8 games Harvey Barnes booked in 1 4.08cards/game 1.00×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 14 current Premier League officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Premier League referees

Frequently asked

How often does Harvey Barnes have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Premier League games, Harvey Barnes has hit 1+ shot on target in 60% (6 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Harvey Barnes average?

Across the last 10 Premier League games, Harvey Barnes is averaging 0.98 shots on target and 1.96 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Harvey Barnes get booked?

Harvey Barnes is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Harvey Barnes commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Harvey Barnes commits 0.84 fouls per 90 and wins 1.54 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Harvey Barnes?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Harvey Barnes plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.