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Premier League 26/27
JO

Joe Willock

Central midfielder 80% of 30 recent starts NewcastlePremier League 26/27

Next match
Newcastle at Coventry City›
Mon 12 OctReferee John Brooks

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Premier League central midfielder, 25/26, 2,542 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.91 per 90
60%
6 of 102.9×
2.30MGMEdge
Total shots2.58 per 90
90%Hot
9 of 101.9×
1.14bet365Edge
Fouls won1.36 per 90
60%
6 of 101.2×
1.33bet365Edge
Fouls committed0.91 per 90
30%
3 of 100.5×
1.20bet365Edge
Tackles1.21 per 90
60%
6 of 100.9×
20%
2 of 102.1×
Cards0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
5.50bet365Edge
Goals0.30 per 90
20%
2 of 103.0×
form only
Assists0.15 per 90
10%
1 of 101.4×
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Over the last 10 Premier League games, Joe Willock has hit 1+ shot on target in 60% (6 of 10), 1+ total shot in 90%, 1+ foul committed in 30%, 1+ foul won in 60%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable central midfielders

The closest 5 profiles to Joe Willock in Premier League, 25/26 — drawn from 86 central midfielders with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Joe WillockNewcastle United 241.51 1.42
Pape Matar SarrJuventus 261.09 1.87
Lucas BergvallTottenham Hotspur 231.10 2.21
Tomáš SoučekWest Ham United 351.06 1.50
Douglas LuizJuventus 211.05 1.24
Ross BarkleyAston Villa 211.87 0.94
These 5, combined 1.18 1.57

Recent matches

The last 10 games Joe Willock featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
Hull City19 Sep 87 1 2 0 3 1 0
@ Leeds14 Sep 33 1 2 0 1 1 0
Bournemouth5 Sep 63 0 2 0 2 1 0
@ Tottenham29 Aug 71 0 3 3 0 0 0
Liverpool23 Aug 34 1 1 2 0 2 0
@ Fulham24 May 90 1 2 1 1 2 0
West Ham17 May 37 0 1 0 1 0 0
Brighton2 May 68 1 2 0 0 0 0
@ Arsenal25 Apr 86 1 2 0 1 0 0
Sunderland22 Mar 25 0 0 0 0 1 0
Officials on record
Stuart Attwell 11 games Joe Willock booked in 1 4.28cards/game 1.05×vs league
Peter Bankes 8 games Joe Willock booked in 2 4.23cards/game 1.04×vs league
Craig Pawson 8 games Joe Willock booked in 1 3.94cards/game 0.97×vs league
Jarred Gillett 8 games Joe Willock never booked 3.85cards/game 0.94×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 13 current Premier League officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Premier League referees

Frequently asked

How often does Joe Willock have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Premier League games, Joe Willock has hit 1+ shot on target in 60% (6 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Joe Willock average?

Across the last 10 Premier League games, Joe Willock is averaging 0.91 shots on target and 2.58 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Joe Willock get booked?

Joe Willock is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Joe Willock commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Joe Willock commits 0.91 fouls per 90 and wins 1.36 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Joe Willock?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Joe Willock plays as a midfielder.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.