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Premier League 26/27
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Noah Okafor

Striker 43% of 23 recent starts LeedsPremier League 26/27

Also in: Serie A

Next match
Leeds at Arsenal›
Sat 10 OctReferee Paul Tierney

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 33 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Premier League striker, 25/26, 1,416 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target1.06 per 90
50%
5 of 101.3×
2.25MGMEdge
Total shots2.12 per 90
80%Hot
8 of 101.2×
1.33bet365Edge
Fouls won0.91 per 90
50%
5 of 101.2×
1.50PPEdge
Fouls committed0.61 per 90
30%
3 of 100.6×
1.36bet365Edge
Tackles1.52 per 90
70%
7 of 102.2×
20%
2 of 103.4×
Cards0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
6.00bet365Edge
Goals0.76 per 90
40%
4 of 102.0×
form only
Assists0.15 per 90
10%
1 of 102.1×
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Over the last 10 Premier League games, Noah Okafor has hit 1+ shot on target in 50% (5 of 10), 1+ total shot in 80%, 1+ foul committed in 30%, 1+ foul won in 50%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable strikers

The closest 5 profiles to Noah Okafor in Premier League, 25/26 — drawn from 43 strikers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Noah OkaforLeeds United 282.00 1.03
Kai HavertzArsenal 122.78 1.23
Nick WoltemadeNewcastle United 331.49 0.93
Dominic SolankeTottenham Hotspur 151.80 1.08
Lyle FosterBurnley 261.31 1.44
RicharlisonTottenham Hotspur 322.81 1.06
These 5, combined 1.98 1.12

Recent matches

The last 10 games Noah Okafor featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
Crystal Palace20 Sep 76 0 1 0 1 2 0
Newcastle14 Sep 72 1 2 0 2 2 0
@ Brighton5 Sep 62 0 0 1 1 0 0
Brentford30 Aug 69 0 2 0 1 1 0
@ Nottingham Forest22 Aug 24 0 0 1 0 2 0
Burnley1 May 65 1 2 0 0 1 0
@ Bournemouth22 Apr 64 0 2 0 0 1 0
Wolves18 Apr 67 2 2 0 1 1 0
@ Man Utd13 Apr 74 2 2 2 0 0 0
Brentford21 Mar 21 1 1 0 0 0 0
Officials on record
Jarred Gillett 4 games Noah Okafor never booked 3.85cards/game 0.94×vs league
Thomas Bramall 3 games Noah Okafor booked in 1 4.07cards/game 1.00×vs league
Michael Salisbury 3 games Noah Okafor never booked 4.08cards/game 1.00×vs league
Robert Jones 3 games Noah Okafor never booked 4.36cards/game 1.07×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 5 current Premier League officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Premier League referees

Frequently asked

How often does Noah Okafor have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Premier League games, Noah Okafor has hit 1+ shot on target in 50% (5 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Noah Okafor average?

Across the last 10 Premier League games, Noah Okafor is averaging 1.06 shots on target and 2.12 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Noah Okafor get booked?

Noah Okafor is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Noah Okafor commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Noah Okafor commits 0.61 fouls per 90 and wins 0.91 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Noah Okafor?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Noah Okafor plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.