What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Premier League wing-back, 25/26, 312 appearances
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Picked from 41 selections across 14 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.
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Over the last 10 Premier League games, James Justin has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10), 1+ total shot in 70%, 1+ foul committed in 30%, 1+ foul won in 80%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable wing-backs
The closest 5 profiles to James Justin in Premier League, 25/26 — drawn from 9 wing-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| James JustinLeeds United | 29 | 1.13 | 0.61 |
| Tyrick MitchellCrystal Palace | 38 | 0.53 | 0.64 |
| Hugo BuenoWolverhampton | 35 | 0.61 | 0.68 |
| Gabriel GudmundssonLeeds United | 32 | 0.61 | 1.06 |
| Noussair MazraouiManchester United | 20 | 0.44 | 1.06 |
| Daniel MuñozNottingham Forest | 29 | 1.01 | 1.31 |
| These 5, combined | 0.65 | 0.92 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games James Justin featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace20 Sep | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| Newcastle14 Sep | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| @ Brighton5 Sep | 90 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| Brentford30 Aug | 90 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| @ Nottingham Forest22 Aug | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
| @ West Ham24 May | 90 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| Brighton17 May | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
| @ Tottenham11 May | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
| Burnley1 May | 90 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| @ Bournemouth22 Apr | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 12 current Premier League officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Premier League referees
Frequently asked
How often does James Justin have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Premier League games, James Justin has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does James Justin average?
Across the last 10 Premier League games, James Justin is averaging 0.30 shots on target and 0.80 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does James Justin get booked?
James Justin is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does James Justin commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games James Justin commits 0.50 fouls per 90 and wins 1.40 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for James Justin?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. James Justin plays as a defender.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.