Timothy Castagne
Full-back 77% of 30 recent starts FulhamPremier League 26/27
What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Premier League full-back, 25/26, 1,736 appearances
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Picked from 41 selections across 14 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.
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Over the last 10 Premier League games, Timothy Castagne has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10), 1+ total shot in 50%, 1+ foul committed in 60%, 1+ foul won in 50%, and been booked in 30% (3 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable full-backs
The closest 5 profiles to Timothy Castagne in Premier League, 25/26 — drawn from 61 full-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Timothy CastagneFulham | 30 | 0.67 | 0.87 |
| Lucas DigneParis Saint-Germain | 31 | 0.68 | 0.68 |
| Malo GustoChelsea | 34 | 0.48 | 0.79 |
| Lutsharel GeertruidaSunderland | 28 | 0.58 | 0.79 |
| Diogo DalotManchester United | 34 | 0.83 | 0.86 |
| Nicolò SavonaNottingham Forest | 14 | 0.44 | 1.05 |
| These 5, combined | 0.63 | 0.82 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Timothy Castagne featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Man Utd20 Sep | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| @ Liverpool12 Sep | 72 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Crystal Palace5 Sep | 90 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| @ Sunderland30 Aug | 68 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Chelsea24 Aug | 90 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Newcastle24 May | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| @ Wolves17 May | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| Bournemouth9 May | 83 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| @ Arsenal2 May | 90 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Aston Villa25 Apr | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 15 current Premier League officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Premier League referees
Frequently asked
How often does Timothy Castagne have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Premier League games, Timothy Castagne has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Timothy Castagne average?
Across the last 10 Premier League games, Timothy Castagne is averaging 0.32 shots on target and 0.84 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Timothy Castagne get booked?
Timothy Castagne is averaging 0.32 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Timothy Castagne commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Timothy Castagne commits 1.27 fouls per 90 and wins 0.95 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Timothy Castagne?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Timothy Castagne plays as a defender.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.