What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Premier League central midfielder, 25/26, 2,542 appearances
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Over the last 10 Premier League games, Sandro Tonali has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10), 1+ total shot in 70%, 1+ foul committed in 50%, 1+ foul won in 70%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable central midfielders
The closest 5 profiles to Sandro Tonali in Premier League, 25/26 — drawn from 86 central midfielders with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sandro TonaliTottenham Hotspur | 35 | 1.31 | 0.85 |
| Idrissa Gana GueyeEverton | 25 | 1.24 | 0.90 |
| Ryan GravenberchLiverpool FC | 36 | 1.14 | 1.14 |
| Josh CullenBurnley | 18 | 0.65 | 0.95 |
| Curtis JonesInter | 34 | 1.06 | 0.78 |
| Granit XhakaSunderland | 34 | 0.65 | 0.71 |
| These 5, combined | 0.96 | 0.90 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Sandro Tonali featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa19 Sep | 84 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
| Everton12 Sep | 90 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Nottingham Forest5 Sep | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| Newcastle29 Aug | 75 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Brentford22 Aug | 90 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| West Ham17 May | 53 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Nottingham Forest10 May | 90 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Brighton2 May | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| @ Arsenal25 Apr | 90 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Bournemouth18 Apr | 86 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 12 current Premier League officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Premier League referees
Frequently asked
How often does Sandro Tonali have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Premier League games, Sandro Tonali has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Sandro Tonali average?
Across the last 10 Premier League games, Sandro Tonali is averaging 0.21 shots on target and 1.83 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Sandro Tonali get booked?
Sandro Tonali is averaging 0.11 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Sandro Tonali commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Sandro Tonali commits 0.75 fouls per 90 and wins 0.97 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Sandro Tonali?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Sandro Tonali plays as a midfielder.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.