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Premier League 26/27
LU

Luka Vušković

Centre-back 100% of 5 recent starts BrightonPremier League 26/27

Also in: Bundesliga

Next match
Brighton at Sunderland›
Sat 10 OctReferee Thomas Bramall

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 5 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 5 games

Compared with a Premier League centre-back, 25/26, 1,659 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.21 per 90
20%
1 of 51.6×
3.20PPEdge
Total shots1.64 per 90
80%Hot
4 of 52.2×
1.33bet365Edge
Fouls won1.23 per 90
60%
3 of 51.6×
1.53bet365Edge
Fouls committed1.44 per 90
80%Hot
4 of 51.8×
1.33bet365Edge
Tackles0.82 per 90
60%
3 of 51.0×
0%
0 of 5
Cards0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 5
4.00bet365Edge
Goals0.21 per 90
20%
1 of 55.6×
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 5
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Over the last 5 Premier League games, Luka Vušković has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (1 of 5), 1+ total shot in 80%, 1+ foul committed in 80%, 1+ foul won in 60%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 5). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 5

Comparable centre-backs

Luka Vušković has no Premier League record yet, so this profile is drawn from the Bundesliga 25/26 season. These are the closest 5 Premier League centre-backs by standing within their own league — not by matching output, which does not carry across leagues. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Luka VuškovićHamburger SVBundesliga 281.18 1.07
Marc GuéhiManchester City 350.91 0.71
Gabriel MagalhãesArsenal 320.88 0.69
James TarkowskiEverton 370.57 0.86
Sven BotmanNewcastle United 250.73 0.64
Daniel BallardSunderland 291.09 1.22
These 5, combined 0.82 0.82

Recent matches

The last 5 games Luka Vušković featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
Arsenal19 Sep 90 0 0 4 3 0 0
@ Coventry City13 Sep 78 0 2 0 1 1 0
Leeds5 Sep 90 1 2 1 2 2 0
@ Chelsea30 Aug 90 0 2 1 0 1 0
Aston Villa23 Aug 90 0 2 1 0 0 0

Frequently asked

How often does Luka Vušković have a shot on target?

Over the last 5 Premier League games, Luka Vušković has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (1 of 5). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Luka Vušković average?

Across the last 5 Premier League games, Luka Vušković is averaging 0.21 shots on target and 1.64 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Luka Vušković get booked?

Luka Vušković is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 5 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Luka Vušković commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 5 games Luka Vušković commits 1.44 fouls per 90 and wins 1.23 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Luka Vušković?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Luka Vušković plays as a defender.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.