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Ligue 1 26/27
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Nathan Ngoy

Centre-back 100% of 30 recent starts LilleLigue 1 26/27

Next match
Lille vs Le Havre›
Sat 10 OctReferee Bastien Dechepy

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 34 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Ligue 1 centre-back, 25/26, 1,295 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.10 per 90
10%
1 of 100.9×
6.50PPEdge
Total shots0.40 per 90
20%
2 of 100.7×
1.91PPEdge
Fouls won0.90 per 90
70%
7 of 101.7×
Fouls committed0.90 per 90
50%
5 of 100.9×
Tackles0.90 per 90
70%
7 of 101.1×
0%
0 of 10
Cards0.20 per 90
20%
2 of 101.2×
4.33bet365Edge
Goals0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Over the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Nathan Ngoy has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10), 1+ total shot in 20%, 1+ foul committed in 50%, 1+ foul won in 70%, and been booked in 20% (2 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable centre-backs

The closest 5 profiles to Nathan Ngoy in Ligue 1, 25/26 — drawn from 57 centre-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Nathan NgoyLille 290.82 0.75
Aïssa MandiLevante UD 290.52 0.63
Chancel MbembaLille 130.66 0.94
Chidozie AwaziemNantes 260.44 0.93
Ayumu SekoLe Havre 300.58 0.96
Jérémy JacquetStade Rennais 190.59 1.08
These 5, combined 0.54 0.89

Recent matches

The last 10 games Nathan Ngoy featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ Nice20 Sep 90 0 0 0 0 1 0
Troyes13 Sep 90 0 0 2 1 1 0
@ Toulouse3 Sep 90 0 0 0 2 0 0
Paris Saint-Germain28 Aug 90 0 0 1 1 1 0
@ Angers23 Aug 90 0 0 2 1 2 0
Auxerre17 May 90 0 1 1 1 2 1
@ AS Monaco10 May 90 0 0 0 0 0 0
Le Havre3 May 90 1 3 3 0 1 0
@ Paris FC26 Apr 90 0 0 0 2 0 1
@ Toulouse12 Apr 90 0 0 0 1 1 0
Officials on record
Willy Delajod 5 games Nathan Ngoy booked in 2 3.71cards/game 0.96×vs league
Mathieu Vernice 4 games Nathan Ngoy booked in 2 4.35cards/game 1.12×vs league
François Letexier 3 games Nathan Ngoy booked in 2 4.22cards/game 1.09×vs league
Jérôme Brisard 3 games Nathan Ngoy booked in 1 4.06cards/game 1.05×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 5 current Ligue 1 officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Ligue 1 referees

Frequently asked

How often does Nathan Ngoy have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Nathan Ngoy has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Nathan Ngoy average?

Across the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Nathan Ngoy is averaging 0.10 shots on target and 0.40 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Nathan Ngoy get booked?

Nathan Ngoy is averaging 0.20 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Nathan Ngoy commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Nathan Ngoy commits 0.90 fouls per 90 and wins 0.90 — an even split. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Nathan Ngoy?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Nathan Ngoy plays as a defender.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.