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Serie A 26/27
MA

Mario Gila

Centre-back 83% of 30 recent starts AC MilanSerie A 26/27

Next match
AC Milan at Sassuolo›
Sun 11 OctReferee Francesco Fourneau

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Serie A centre-back, 25/26, 1,351 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.13 per 90
10%
1 of 101.0×
5.50PPEdge
Total shots0.25 per 90
20%
2 of 100.6×
2.88PPEdge
Fouls won1.14 per 90
50%
5 of 101.3×
1.80PPEdge
Fouls committed0.89 per 90
40%
4 of 100.7×
1.50bet365Edge
Tackles1.27 per 90
70%
7 of 101.1×
0%
0 of 10
Cards0.25 per 90
20%
2 of 101.1×
4.20PPEdge
Goals0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Over the last 10 Serie A games, Mario Gila has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10), 1+ total shot in 20%, 1+ foul committed in 40%, 1+ foul won in 50%, and been booked in 20% (2 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable centre-backs

The closest 5 profiles to Mario Gila in Serie A, 25/26 — drawn from 53 centre-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Mario GilaAC Milan 310.44 0.69
Jhon LucumíJuventus 290.31 0.90
Ardian IsmajliTorino 250.28 0.99
Alessandro CircatiParma 310.27 1.01
Tarik MuharemovićSassuolo 320.63 0.76
Kialonda GasparLecce 230.44 0.64
These 5, combined 0.40 0.87

Recent matches

The last 10 games Mario Gila featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
Lecce20 Sep 90 0 0 0 2 1 0
@ Lazio12 Sep 90 1 1 2 2 3 1
@ Juventus6 Sep 88 0 0 2 0 0 0
Venezia28 Aug 87 0 0 0 0 1 0
@ Torino23 Aug 76 0 0 1 1 1 0
Pisa23 May 45 0 0 2 0 0 1
@ AS Roma17 May 90 0 1 0 2 2 0
Inter9 May 56 0 0 0 2 0 0
@ SSC Napoli18 Apr 61 0 0 0 0 1 0
@ Bologna22 Mar 26 0 0 0 0 1 0
Officials on record
Andrea Colombo 7 games Mario Gila booked in 1 4.80cards/game 1.15×vs league
Juan Luca Sacchi 7 games Mario Gila booked in 1 3.87cards/game 0.92×vs league
Luca Zufferli 6 games Mario Gila booked in 2 2.89cards/game 0.69×vs league
Davide Massa 6 games Mario Gila never booked 5.18cards/game 1.24×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 13 current Serie A officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Serie A referees

Frequently asked

How often does Mario Gila have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Serie A games, Mario Gila has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Mario Gila average?

Across the last 10 Serie A games, Mario Gila is averaging 0.13 shots on target and 0.25 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Mario Gila get booked?

Mario Gila is averaging 0.25 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Mario Gila commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Mario Gila commits 0.89 fouls per 90 and wins 1.14 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Mario Gila?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Mario Gila plays as a defender.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.