Luca Zufferli
Over his last 10 Serie A games, Luca Zufferli has averaged 2.90 cards a match — 31% below the league average of 4.21. That's 2.9 yellow a game, with no red card in the 10. The home side sees more of them — 1.4 to 1.5 a game, flatter than the league's 0.3 gap. 5+ cards landed in 20% of them (2 of 10), and he turned 13.2% of fouls into bookings. He points to the spot at about the league's rate: 13 penalties in 42 matches, 0.31 a game against a league average of 0.30. These are raw match figures from games he took charge of, not odds.
Match cards last 10 games
Career profile
The two numbers that matter are vs league — the multiplier the model applies to a player's booking chance — and conversion, the share of fouls Luca Zufferli turns into bookings. Conversion, not the raw foul count, is where a referee's real card tendency lives. Career figures across every Serie A season on record.
| Measure | Zufferli | League avg |
|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 2.93 | 4.21 |
| vs league | 0.70× | 1.00× |
| Foul-to-card conversion | 12.4% | 17.0% |
| Fouls / match | 23.6 | 24.8 |
| Penalties awarded / match | 0.31 | 0.30 |
| Penalties awarded (total) | 13 in 42 | — |
| Red cards shown | 4 | — |
| Matches on record | 42 (18 in 25/26) | — |
Recent matches
The last 8 Serie A games Luca Zufferli took charge of — the actual card and foul counts a match-cards line settles on.
| Match | Score | Cards | Y | R | Pen | Fouls |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torino v Juventus24 May | 2–2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 20 |
| Como v Parma17 May | 1–0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 24 |
| AC Milan v Atalanta10 May | 2–3 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 25 |
| AS Roma v Fiorentina4 May | 4–0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 22 |
| SSC Napoli v Lazio18 Apr | 0–2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 20 |
| Pisa v Torino5 Apr | 0–1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 24 |
| Fiorentina v Parma8 Mar | 0–0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 26 |
| Lazio v Genoa30 Jan | 3–2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 24 |
Frequently asked
How many cards does Luca Zufferli give per game?
Luca Zufferli averages 2.93 cards a game across 42 Serie A matches — 30% below the league average of 4.21. When he's appointed, the model multiplies every player's booking chance by 0.70.
Is Luca Zufferli a strict referee?
No — he's more lenient than most. The honest measure is foul-to-card conversion — the share of fouls he turns into bookings — and Luca Zufferli runs at 12.4% against a league average of 17.0%. Foul counts barely vary between officials; the rate at which a foul becomes a booking is where referees genuinely differ.
Does Luca Zufferli's record change bet builder card prices?
It should. The referee is the single biggest factor in the to-be-carded market, and the appointment is public before kick-off — so a strict official on a combative player is the archetypal card edge. The player cards guide walks through exactly how the model turns a tendency like this into a price.
How reliable is Luca Zufferli's card rate?
It rests on 42 career matches, a solid record. The model shrinks a referee's tendency toward the league average when the sample is thin and discounts its own confidence for officials with young records, so a number like this never gets trusted beyond what the evidence earns.
Rates shown are figures from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, an opponent factor and de-vigging, and discounts its confidence for thin referee records, before flagging any card as value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.