Marco Guida
Over the last 10 Serie A games Marco Guida has officiated, the average is 3.40 cards a match — 19% below the league average of 4.19. That splits 3.1 yellow and 0.3 red a game — a red in 2 of the 10. Home and away sides fare about the same here (1.7 v 1.7 a game), where the league tilts +0.3 toward the away side. 5+ cards landed in 30% of those games (3 of 10), from a 16.5% foul-to-booking rate. Penalties come more often than most: 20 awarded in 48 matches, 0.42 a game against a league average of 0.29. These are raw match figures from those games, not odds.
Match cards last 10 games
Career profile
The two numbers that matter are vs league — the multiplier the model applies to a player's booking chance — and conversion, the share of fouls Marco Guida turns into bookings. Conversion, not the raw foul count, is where a referee's real card tendency lives. Career figures across every Serie A season on record.
| Measure | Guida | League avg |
|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 4.14 | 4.19 |
| vs league | 0.99× | 1.00× |
| Foul-to-card conversion | 17.4% | 16.9% |
| Fouls / match | 23.8 | 24.7 |
| Penalties awarded / match | 0.42 | 0.29 |
| Penalties awarded (total) | 20 in 48 | — |
| Red cards shown | 7 | — |
| Matches on record | 49 (2 in 26/27) | — |
Recent matches
The last 8 Serie A games Marco Guida took charge of — the actual card and foul counts a match-cards line settles on.
| Match | Score | Cards | Y | R | Pen | Fouls |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bologna v Torino19 Sep | 1–1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | — | 30 |
| Genoa v Como4 Sep | 1–4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 15 |
| AC Milan v Cagliari24 May | 1–2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 17 |
| Hellas Verona v Fiorentina4 Apr | 0–1 | 6 2 red | 4 | 2 | 0 | 22 |
| Lazio v AC Milan15 Mar | 1–0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 26 |
| Genoa v Torino22 Feb | 3–0 | 2 1 red | 1 | 1 | 0 | 23 |
| Juventus v Lazio8 Feb | 2–2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 |
| Fiorentina v Cagliari24 Jan | 1–2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 28 |
● a red card▪ a penalty awarded in that match
Frequently asked
How many cards does Marco Guida give per game?
Marco Guida averages 4.14 cards a game across 49 Serie A matches — roughly below the league average of 4.19. On a Marco Guida appointment, the model multiplies every player's booking chance by 0.99.
Is Marco Guida a strict referee?
Slightly, yes. The honest measure is foul-to-card conversion — the share of fouls that become bookings — and Marco Guida runs at 17.4% against a league average of 16.9%. Foul counts barely vary between officials; the rate at which a foul becomes a booking is where referees genuinely differ.
Does Marco Guida's record change bet builder card prices?
It should. The referee is the single biggest factor in the to-be-carded market, and the appointment is public before kick-off — so a strict official on a combative player is the archetypal card edge. The player cards guide walks through exactly how the model turns a tendency like this into a price.
How reliable is Marco Guida's card rate?
It rests on 49 career matches, a solid record. The model shrinks a referee's tendency toward the league average when the sample is thin and discounts its own confidence for officials with young records, so a number like this never gets trusted beyond what the evidence earns.
Rates shown are figures from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage and an opponent factor, and discounts its confidence for thin referee records, before flagging any card as value. It compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — card markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.