Marco Guida
Over his last 10 Serie A games, Marco Guida has averaged 3.80 cards a match — 10% below the league average of 4.21. That splits 3.5 yellow and 0.3 red a game — a red in 2 of the 10. The home side sees more of them — 1.8 to 2.0 a game, flatter than the league's 0.3 gap. 5+ cards landed in 40% of them (4 of 10), and he turned 16.7% of fouls into bookings. He points to the spot more often than most: 20 penalties in 47 matches, 0.43 a game against a league average of 0.30. These are raw match figures from games he took charge of, not odds.
Match cards last 10 games
Career profile
The two numbers that matter are vs league — the multiplier the model applies to a player's booking chance — and conversion, the share of fouls Marco Guida turns into bookings. Conversion, not the raw foul count, is where a referee's real card tendency lives. Career figures across every Serie A season on record.
| Measure | Guida | League avg |
|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 4.19 | 4.21 |
| vs league | 1.00× | 1.00× |
| Foul-to-card conversion | 17.6% | 17.0% |
| Fouls / match | 23.8 | 24.8 |
| Penalties awarded / match | 0.43 | 0.30 |
| Penalties awarded (total) | 20 in 47 | — |
| Red cards shown | 7 | — |
| Matches on record | 47 (16 in 25/26) | — |
Recent matches
The last 8 Serie A games Marco Guida took charge of — the actual card and foul counts a match-cards line settles on.
| Match | Score | Cards | Y | R | Pen | Fouls |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan v Cagliari24 May | 1–2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 17 |
| Hellas Verona v Fiorentina4 Apr | 0–1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 22 |
| Lazio v AC Milan15 Mar | 1–0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 26 |
| Genoa v Torino22 Feb | 3–0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 23 |
| Juventus v Lazio8 Feb | 2–2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 |
| Fiorentina v Cagliari24 Jan | 1–2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 28 |
| Como v AC Milan15 Jan | 1–3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 |
| Hellas Verona v Lazio11 Jan | 0–1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 19 |
Frequently asked
How many cards does Marco Guida give per game?
Marco Guida averages 4.19 cards a game across 47 Serie A matches — roughly at the league average of 4.21. When he's appointed, the model multiplies every player's booking chance by 1.00.
Is Marco Guida a strict referee?
Slightly, yes. The honest measure is foul-to-card conversion — the share of fouls he turns into bookings — and Marco Guida runs at 17.6% against a league average of 17.0%. Foul counts barely vary between officials; the rate at which a foul becomes a booking is where referees genuinely differ.
Does Marco Guida's record change bet builder card prices?
It should. The referee is the single biggest factor in the to-be-carded market, and the appointment is public before kick-off — so a strict official on a combative player is the archetypal card edge. The player cards guide walks through exactly how the model turns a tendency like this into a price.
How reliable is Marco Guida's card rate?
It rests on 47 career matches, a solid record. The model shrinks a referee's tendency toward the league average when the sample is thin and discounts its own confidence for officials with young records, so a number like this never gets trusted beyond what the evidence earns.
Rates shown are figures from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, an opponent factor and de-vigging, and discounts its confidence for thin referee records, before flagging any card as value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.