Serie A · 25/26

Hellas Verona v Fiorentina

How the SharpXI model rated this Serie A fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Hellas Verona0 – 1 Fiorentina 4 Apr 2026

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 10 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Moise Kean	shots total	1+	100%	1	✓
Gift Orban	shots total	1+	94%	2	✓
Roberto Piccoli	shots total	1+	94%	0	✗
Amin Sarr	fouls committed	1+	86%	0	✗
Albert Guðmundsson	shots total	1+	86%	2	✓
Antoine Bernede	fouls committed	1+	85%	3	✓
Jean Daniel Akpa-Akpro	fouls committed	1+	85%	3	✓
Kieron Bowie	fouls committed	1+	83%	1	✓
Roberto Piccoli	fouls drawn	1+	83%	0	✗
Kieron Bowie	shots total	1+	81%	4	✓
Roberto Gagliardini	fouls committed	1+	80%	2	✓
Giovanni Fabbian	fouls drawn	1+	80%	3	✓
Martin Frese	fouls committed	1+	80%	1	✓
Amin Sarr	shots total	1+	79%	0	✗

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Btts	Yes	48%	No	✗
Match cards	O4.5	46%	6 cards	✓
Match goals	O2.5	44%	1 goals	✗

Dig deeper

Hellas Verona & Fiorentina player stats→ Hellas Verona players & stats→ Fiorentina players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works