Serie A · 25/26

Fiorentina v Hellas Verona

How the SharpXI model rated this Serie A fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Fiorentina1 – 2 Hellas Verona 14 Dec 2025

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 10 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Moise Kean	shots total	1+	98%	6	✓
Edin Džeko	shots total	1+	94%	0	✗
Daniel Mosquera	shots total	1+	94%	2	✓
Gift Orban	shots total	1+	93%	7	✓
Daniel Mosquera	fouls committed	1+	88%	0	✗
Antoine Bernede	fouls committed	1+	86%	5	✓
Giovane	shots total	1+	86%	0	✗
Amin Sarr	fouls committed	1+	85%	0	✗
Fabiano Parisi	fouls drawn	1+	84%	7	✓
Unai Núñez	fouls committed	1+	83%	2	✓
Rolando Mandragora	fouls drawn	1+	82%	2	✓
Roberto Gagliardini	fouls committed	1+	82%	4	✓
Cheikh Niasse	fouls committed	1+	81%	3	✓
Rolando Mandragora	shots total	1+	81%	2	✓

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Match cards	O4.5	68%	6 cards	✓
Btts	Yes	50%	Yes	✓
Match goals	O2.5	47%	3 goals	✓

Dig deeper

Fiorentina & Hellas Verona player stats→ Fiorentina players & stats→ Hellas Verona players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works