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Serie A 26/27
TI

Tiago Gabriel

Centre-back 97% of 30 recent starts LecceSerie A 26/27

Next match
Lecce vs Bologna›
Sun 11 OctReferee Luca Pairetto

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 43 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Serie A centre-back, 25/26, 1,351 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.35 per 90
30%
3 of 102.9×
7.00bet365Edge
Total shots0.46 per 90
40%
4 of 101.2×
2.10bet365Edge
Fouls won0.69 per 90
50%
5 of 101.3×
1.44PPEdge
Fouls committed0.81 per 90
40%
4 of 100.7×
1.53PPEdge
Tackles1.38 per 90
70%
7 of 101.1×
0%
0 of 10
Cards0.35 per 90
30%
3 of 101.7×
4.50PPEdge
Goals0.35 per 90
30%
3 of 108.1×
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Over the last 10 Serie A games, Tiago Gabriel has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10), 1+ total shot in 40%, 1+ foul committed in 40%, 1+ foul won in 50%, and been booked in 30% (3 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable centre-backs

The closest 5 profiles to Tiago Gabriel in Serie A, 25/26 — drawn from 53 centre-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Tiago GabrielLecce 370.56 0.81
Yerry MinaCagliari 260.46 1.09
Mario GilaAC Milan 310.44 0.69
Amir RrahmaniSSC Napoli 210.75 1.00
Lloyd KellyJuventus 350.51 1.29
Ardian IsmajliTorino 250.28 0.99
These 5, combined 0.48 1.02

Recent matches

The last 10 games Tiago Gabriel featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
Monza13 Sep 90 1 1 0 2 3 0
@ Cagliari7 Sep 90 0 0 2 1 2 0
AS Roma31 Aug 45 0 0 0 0 2 0
@ Venezia23 Aug 16 1 1 0 0 0 0
Genoa24 May 90 0 0 2 1 1 1
@ Sassuolo17 May 90 0 0 2 1 1 1
Juventus9 May 90 0 1 0 0 2 0
@ Pisa1 May 90 0 0 0 0 0 0
Fiorentina20 Apr 90 1 1 1 1 0 1
@ Bologna12 Apr 90 0 0 0 0 1 0
Officials on record
Juan Luca Sacchi 4 games Tiago Gabriel never booked 3.87cards/game 0.92×vs league
Daniele Doveri 3 games Tiago Gabriel booked in 1 3.34cards/game 0.80×vs league
Fabio Maresca 3 games Tiago Gabriel booked in 1 5.35cards/game 1.28×vs league
Luca Zufferli 3 games Tiago Gabriel booked in 1 2.89cards/game 0.69×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 5 current Serie A officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Serie A referees

Frequently asked

How often does Tiago Gabriel have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Serie A games, Tiago Gabriel has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Tiago Gabriel average?

Across the last 10 Serie A games, Tiago Gabriel is averaging 0.35 shots on target and 0.46 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Tiago Gabriel get booked?

Tiago Gabriel is averaging 0.35 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Tiago Gabriel commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Tiago Gabriel commits 0.81 fouls per 90 and wins 0.69 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Tiago Gabriel?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Tiago Gabriel plays as a defender.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.