Tiago Gabriel
What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Serie A centre-back, 25/26, 1,351 appearances
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Over the last 10 Serie A games, Tiago Gabriel has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10), 1+ total shot in 40%, 1+ foul committed in 40%, 1+ foul won in 50%, and been booked in 30% (3 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable centre-backs
The closest 5 profiles to Tiago Gabriel in Serie A, 25/26 — drawn from 53 centre-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tiago GabrielLecce | 37 | 0.56 | 0.81 |
| Yerry MinaCagliari | 26 | 0.46 | 1.09 |
| Mario GilaAC Milan | 31 | 0.44 | 0.69 |
| Amir RrahmaniSSC Napoli | 21 | 0.75 | 1.00 |
| Lloyd KellyJuventus | 35 | 0.51 | 1.29 |
| Ardian IsmajliTorino | 25 | 0.28 | 0.99 |
| These 5, combined | 0.48 | 1.02 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Tiago Gabriel featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monza13 Sep | 90 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| @ Cagliari7 Sep | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| AS Roma31 Aug | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| @ Venezia23 Aug | 16 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Genoa24 May | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| @ Sassuolo17 May | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Juventus9 May | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| @ Pisa1 May | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Fiorentina20 Apr | 90 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| @ Bologna12 Apr | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 5 current Serie A officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Serie A referees
Frequently asked
How often does Tiago Gabriel have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Serie A games, Tiago Gabriel has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Tiago Gabriel average?
Across the last 10 Serie A games, Tiago Gabriel is averaging 0.35 shots on target and 0.46 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Tiago Gabriel get booked?
Tiago Gabriel is averaging 0.35 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Tiago Gabriel commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Tiago Gabriel commits 0.81 fouls per 90 and wins 0.69 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Tiago Gabriel?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Tiago Gabriel plays as a defender.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.