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Serie A 26/27
NI

Nikola Krstović

Striker 100% of 30 recent starts AtalantaSerie A 26/27

Next match
Atalanta vs Venezia›
Mon 12 OctReferee Paride Tremolada

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Serie A striker, 25/26, 1,897 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target1.54 per 90
70%
7 of 101.8×
1.34MGMEdge
Total shots3.38 per 90
90%Hot
9 of 101.3×
1.03PPEdge
Fouls won0.62 per 90
30%
3 of 100.5×
1.22bet365Edge
Fouls committed2.62 per 90
60%
6 of 101.1×
1.20PPEdge
Tackles0.46 per 90
30%
3 of 101.0×
50%
5 of 105.4×
Cards0.46 per 90
30%
3 of 104.1×
6.50bet365Edge
Goals0.31 per 90
20%
2 of 101.2×
form only
Assists0.15 per 90
10%
1 of 101.7×
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Picked from 41 selections across 14 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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Over the last 10 Serie A games, Nikola Krstović has hit 1+ shot on target in 70% (7 of 10), 1+ total shot in 90%, 1+ foul committed in 60%, 1+ foul won in 30%, and been booked in 30% (3 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable strikers

The closest 5 profiles to Nikola Krstović in Serie A, 25/26 — drawn from 62 strikers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Nikola KrstovićAtalanta 334.99 2.27
Gianluca ScamaccaAtalanta 243.89 1.77
Lautaro MartínezInter 303.80 1.94
Marcus ThuramInter 293.48 2.02
Evan FergusonBrighton & Hove Albion 163.13 1.28
Moise KeanComo 264.31 1.28
These 5, combined 3.80 1.71

Recent matches

The last 10 games Nikola Krstović featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ Juventus20 Sep 72 0 1 0 2 0 0
Cagliari12 Sep 22 1 1 0 0 0 0
@ AS Roma5 Sep 45 0 1 0 1 0 0
Bologna31 Aug 22 0 0 0 0 0 1
Sassuolo23 Aug 30 2 3 2 0 0 0
Bologna17 May 90 1 3 2 0 1 0
@ AC Milan10 May 90 1 3 6 1 1 1
Genoa2 May 90 3 6 3 0 1 1
@ Cagliari27 Apr 34 1 2 1 0 0 0
@ AS Roma18 Apr 90 1 2 3 0 0 0
Officials on record
Juan Luca Sacchi 6 games Nikola Krstović booked in 1 3.87cards/game 0.92×vs league
Luca Zufferli 6 games Nikola Krstović booked in 1 2.89cards/game 0.69×vs league
Gianluca Manganiello 6 games Nikola Krstović never booked 3.51cards/game 0.84×vs league
Daniele Doveri 5 games Nikola Krstović booked in 2 3.34cards/game 0.80×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 18 current Serie A officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Serie A referees

Frequently asked

How often does Nikola Krstović have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Serie A games, Nikola Krstović has hit 1+ shot on target in 70% (7 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Nikola Krstović average?

Across the last 10 Serie A games, Nikola Krstović is averaging 1.54 shots on target and 3.38 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Nikola Krstović get booked?

Nikola Krstović is averaging 0.46 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Nikola Krstović commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Nikola Krstović commits 2.62 fouls per 90 and wins 0.62 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Nikola Krstović?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Nikola Krstović plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.