What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Serie A striker, 25/26, 1,897 appearances
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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.
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Over the last 10 Serie A games, Marcus Thuram has hit 1+ shot on target in 80% (8 of 10), 1+ total shot in 100%, 1+ foul committed in 70%, 1+ foul won in 70%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable strikers
The closest 5 profiles to Marcus Thuram in Serie A, 25/26 — drawn from 62 strikers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus ThuramInter | 29 | 3.48 | 2.02 |
| Lautaro MartínezInter | 30 | 3.80 | 1.94 |
| Gianluca ScamaccaAtalanta | 24 | 3.89 | 1.77 |
| Giovanni SimeoneTorino | 32 | 3.17 | 1.24 |
| Francesco Pio EspositoInter | 35 | 3.26 | 1.66 |
| Anastasios DouvikasComo | 38 | 2.61 | 1.42 |
| These 5, combined | 3.29 | 1.59 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Marcus Thuram featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ AS Roma19 Sep | 90 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
| Udinese14 Sep | 70 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| SSC Napoli5 Sep | 45 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Cagliari29 Aug | 25 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Lazio9 May | 45 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Parma3 May | 67 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Torino26 Apr | 90 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Cagliari17 Apr | 76 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Como12 Apr | 90 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| AS Roma5 Apr | 66 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 14 current Serie A officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Serie A referees
Frequently asked
How often does Marcus Thuram have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Serie A games, Marcus Thuram has hit 1+ shot on target in 80% (8 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Marcus Thuram average?
Across the last 10 Serie A games, Marcus Thuram is averaging 1.63 shots on target and 4.20 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Marcus Thuram get booked?
Marcus Thuram is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Marcus Thuram commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Marcus Thuram commits 1.49 fouls per 90 and wins 2.17 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Marcus Thuram?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Marcus Thuram plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.