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Serie A 26/27
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Dany Mota

Striker 52% of 29 recent starts MonzaSerie A 26/27

Next match
Monza at Lazio›
Sun 11 OctReferee Giuseppe Collu

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Serie A striker, 25/26, 1,897 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.81 per 90
40%
4 of 101.0×
2.28MGMEdge
Total shots2.57 per 90
90%Hot
9 of 101.3×
1.20PPEdge
Fouls won2.16 per 90
90%Hot
9 of 101.6×
1.20PPEdge
Fouls committed1.89 per 90
70%
7 of 101.3×
1.53PPEdge
Tackles0.41 per 90
30%
3 of 101.0×
20%
2 of 102.2×
Cards0.14 per 90
10%
1 of 101.4×
5.50bet365Edge
Goals0.14 per 90
10%
1 of 100.6×
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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Over the last 10 Serie A games, Dany Mota has hit 1+ shot on target in 40% (4 of 10), 1+ total shot in 90%, 1+ foul committed in 70%, 1+ foul won in 90%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Recent matches

The last 10 games Dany Mota featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
Sassuolo18 Sep 34 0 0 0 1 0 0
@ Parma6 Sep 62 1 3 1 1 1 0
Udinese29 Aug 11 0 1 0 0 0 0
Empoli18 May 36 0 1 2 1 0 0
Atalanta4 May 90 1 1 3 2 0 0
@ Juventus27 Apr 81 0 3 1 2 1 0
SSC Napoli19 Apr 90 0 2 2 4 0 1
@ Venezia12 Apr 90 1 4 4 2 0 0
Como5 Apr 90 3 3 1 2 1 0
@ Cagliari30 Mar 82 0 1 0 1 0 0
Officials on record
Antonio Rapuano 5 games Dany Mota booked in 1 4.75cards/game 1.13×vs league
Luca Pairetto 5 games Dany Mota booked in 1 4.65cards/game 1.11×vs league
Juan Luca Sacchi 5 games Dany Mota never booked 3.87cards/game 0.92×vs league
Luca Zufferli 5 games Dany Mota never booked 2.89cards/game 0.69×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 18 current Serie A officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Serie A referees

Frequently asked

How often does Dany Mota have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Serie A games, Dany Mota has hit 1+ shot on target in 40% (4 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Dany Mota average?

Across the last 10 Serie A games, Dany Mota is averaging 0.81 shots on target and 2.57 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Dany Mota get booked?

Dany Mota is averaging 0.14 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Dany Mota commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Dany Mota commits 1.89 fouls per 90 and wins 2.16 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Dany Mota?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Dany Mota plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.