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Serie A referee · card profile
LU

Luca Pairetto

Serie A referee · 50 matches on record · 18.7% conversion

Over his last 10 Serie A games, Luca Pairetto has averaged 5.60 cards a match — 33% above the league average of 4.21. That splits 5.3 yellow and 0.3 red a game — a red in 3 of the 10. The away side sees more of them — 3.0 to 2.6 a game, in line with the league's 0.3 gap. 5+ cards landed in 70% of them (7 of 10), and he turned 20.9% of fouls into bookings. He points to the spot more often than most: 22 penalties in 50 matches, 0.44 a game against a league average of 0.30. These are raw match figures from games he took charge of, not odds.

Last games
max 50 on record

Match cards last 10 games

Bet line
MarketHit ratePer gameModel
These are Luca Pairetto's own match figures — the raw card and foul counts in games he took charge of. They're not adjusted for how aggressive the two teams are or whether it's a derby. The model layers those in — the referee tendency, each player's booking rate and an opponent card-induction factor — to price a specific leg. That combined verdict is the locked price · edge.
last 10

Career profile

The two numbers that matter are vs league — the multiplier the model applies to a player's booking chance — and conversion, the share of fouls Luca Pairetto turns into bookings. Conversion, not the raw foul count, is where a referee's real card tendency lives. Career figures across every Serie A season on record.

MeasurePairetto League avg
Cards / match4.78 4.21
vs league1.14× 1.00×
Foul-to-card conversion18.7% 17.0%
Fouls / match25.6 24.8
Penalties awarded / match0.44 0.30
Penalties awarded (total)22 in 50
Red cards shown12
Matches on record50 (10 in 25/26)

Recent matches

The last 8 Serie A games Luca Pairetto took charge of — the actual card and foul counts a match-cards line settles on.

MatchScoreCardsYRPenFouls
Como v Pisa22 Mar 5–0 2 2 0 0 11
Udinese v Fiorentina2 Mar 3–0 5 5 0 1 28
Parma v Hellas Verona15 Feb 2–1 4 3 1 1 21
Como v Atalanta1 Feb 0–0 8 7 1 1 20
Parma v Genoa18 Jan 0–0 5 5 0 0 31
Pisa v Como6 Jan 0–3 4 4 0 2 22
Lazio v Cremonese20 Dec 0–0 8 7 1 0 34
Sassuolo v Fiorentina6 Dec 3–1 5 5 0 1 30

Frequently asked

How many cards does Luca Pairetto give per game?

Luca Pairetto averages 4.78 cards a game across 50 Serie A matches — 14% above the league average of 4.21. When he's appointed, the model multiplies every player's booking chance by 1.14.

Is Luca Pairetto a strict referee?

Slightly, yes. The honest measure is foul-to-card conversion — the share of fouls he turns into bookings — and Luca Pairetto runs at 18.7% against a league average of 17.0%. Foul counts barely vary between officials; the rate at which a foul becomes a booking is where referees genuinely differ.

Does Luca Pairetto's record change bet builder card prices?

It should. The referee is the single biggest factor in the to-be-carded market, and the appointment is public before kick-off — so a strict official on a combative player is the archetypal card edge. The player cards guide walks through exactly how the model turns a tendency like this into a price.

How reliable is Luca Pairetto's card rate?

It rests on 50 career matches, a solid record. The model shrinks a referee's tendency toward the league average when the sample is thin and discounts its own confidence for officials with young records, so a number like this never gets trusted beyond what the evidence earns.

Rates shown are figures from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, an opponent factor and de-vigging, and discounts its confidence for thin referee records, before flagging any card as value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.