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Serie A 26/27
AL

Alessandro Bastoni

Wide centre-back 100% of 30 recent starts InterSerie A 26/27

Next match
Inter vs Parma›
Sat 10 OctReferee Kevin Bonacina

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Serie A wide centre-back, 25/26, 1,005 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.13 per 90
10%
1 of 100.8×
3.50MGMEdge
Total shots0.52 per 90
30%
3 of 100.9×
1.79MGMEdge
Fouls won0.39 per 90
30%
3 of 100.7×
1.62PPEdge
Fouls committed1.69 per 90
80%Hot
8 of 101.3×
1.30PPEdge
Tackles2.73 per 90
90%Hot
9 of 101.4×
11%
1 of 94.8×
Cards0.26 per 90
20%
2 of 101.3×
6.00bet365Edge
Goals0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Over the last 10 Serie A games, Alessandro Bastoni has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10), 1+ total shot in 30%, 1+ foul committed in 80%, 1+ foul won in 30%, and been booked in 20% (2 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable wide centre-backs

The closest 5 profiles to Alessandro Bastoni in Serie A, 25/26 — drawn from 37 wide centre-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Alessandro BastoniInter 280.68 1.80
Mario HermosoAS Roma 270.86 1.72
Gianluca ManciniAS Roma 360.59 2.08
Giorgio ScalviniAtalanta 240.94 1.54
Lautaro ValentiParma 270.68 1.00
Strahinja PavlovićAC Milan 340.82 0.94
These 5, combined 0.76 1.47

Recent matches

The last 10 games Alessandro Bastoni featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ AS Roma19 Sep 63 0 1 1 0 2 1
Udinese14 Sep 70 0 0 1 1 1 0
SSC Napoli5 Sep 79 0 0 0 0 3 0
@ Cagliari29 Aug 90 0 2 1 0 4 0
Monza22 Aug 90 0 0 1 0 1 0
@ Lazio9 May 63 0 0 0 1 0 0
Parma3 May 67 0 0 1 1 1 0
@ Como12 Apr 45 0 0 1 0 1 0
AS Roma5 Apr 58 1 1 3 0 5 0
@ AC Milan8 Mar 68 0 0 4 0 3 1
Officials on record
Daniele Doveri 9 games Alessandro Bastoni booked in 1 3.34cards/game 0.80×vs league
Davide Massa 8 games Alessandro Bastoni booked in 2 5.18cards/game 1.24×vs league
Andrea Colombo 7 games Alessandro Bastoni booked in 2 4.80cards/game 1.15×vs league
Simone Sozza 7 games Alessandro Bastoni never booked 4.22cards/game 1.01×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 17 current Serie A officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Serie A referees

Frequently asked

How often does Alessandro Bastoni have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Serie A games, Alessandro Bastoni has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Alessandro Bastoni average?

Across the last 10 Serie A games, Alessandro Bastoni is averaging 0.13 shots on target and 0.52 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Alessandro Bastoni get booked?

Alessandro Bastoni is averaging 0.26 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Alessandro Bastoni commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Alessandro Bastoni commits 1.69 fouls per 90 and wins 0.39 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Alessandro Bastoni?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Alessandro Bastoni plays as a defender.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.