What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Premier League striker, 25/26, 1,416 appearances
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Over the last 10 Premier League games, Rasmus Højlund has hit 1+ shot on target in 40% (4 of 10), 1+ total shot in 80%, 1+ foul committed in 30%, 1+ foul won in 70%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable strikers
Rasmus Højlund has no Premier League record yet, so this profile is drawn from the UEFA Champions League 25/26 season. These are the closest 5 Premier League strikers by standing within their own league — not by matching output, which does not carry across leagues. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rasmus HøjlundSSC NapoliUEFA Champions League | 7 | 1.96 | 1.51 |
| Jørgen Strand LarsenWolverhampton | 36 | 1.71 | 2.02 |
| Viktor GyökeresArsenal | 36 | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| EvanilsonBournemouth | 36 | 2.28 | 0.85 |
| Lyle FosterBurnley | 26 | 1.31 | 1.44 |
| Hwang Hee-chanFC Schalke 04 | 26 | 1.17 | 1.72 |
| These 5, combined | 1.84 | 1.44 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Rasmus Højlund featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa25 May | 81 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Chelsea16 May | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| West Ham11 May | 90 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Bournemouth27 Apr | 90 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Wolves20 Apr | 70 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Newcastle13 Apr | 35 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Man City6 Apr | 71 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Nottingham Forest1 Apr | 45 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Leicester16 Mar | 85 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Arsenal9 Mar | 14 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 9 current Premier League officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Premier League referees
Frequently asked
How often does Rasmus Højlund have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Premier League games, Rasmus Højlund has hit 1+ shot on target in 40% (4 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Rasmus Højlund average?
Across the last 10 Premier League games, Rasmus Højlund is averaging 0.67 shots on target and 2.15 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Rasmus Højlund get booked?
Rasmus Højlund is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Rasmus Højlund commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Rasmus Højlund commits 0.54 fouls per 90 and wins 0.94 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Rasmus Højlund?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Rasmus Højlund plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.