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Premier League · 25/26
NI

Nicolas Jackson

Forward · Chelsea · Premier League 25/26

Over his last 10 Premier League games, Nicolas Jackson has hit 1+ shot on target in 50% (5 of 10), 1+ total shot in 90%, 1+ foul committed in 80%, and 1+ foul won in 60%. He has been booked in 30% (3 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

Last games
max 50 on record

All markets last 10 games

Bet line
MarketHit ratePer 90Model
50%5 of 10
0.91
90%Hot9 of 10
2.47
60%6 of 10
1.17
80%Hot8 of 10
1.95
30%3 of 10
0.39
Hit rate & per-90 are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own best price + model edge (Pro) when the odds feed connects. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.
last 10
Next match
Chelsea at Fulham
Mon 24 Aug

Recent matches

The last 10 games Nicolas Jackson featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonCards
@ Newcastle11 May 36 0 0 2 0 1
Liverpool4 May 72 2 2 1 0 0
Everton26 Apr 89 1 1 3 2 0
@ Fulham20 Apr 78 0 1 3 0 0
Ipswich13 Apr 87 0 5 3 0 1
@ Brentford6 Apr 45 0 2 1 2 0
Tottenham3 Apr 82 1 2 1 2 1
West Ham3 Feb 52 0 2 0 1 0
@ Man City25 Jan 61 2 2 1 1 0
Wolves20 Jan 90 1 2 0 1 0

Frequently asked

How often does Nicolas Jackson have a shot on target?

Over his last 10 Premier League games, Nicolas Jackson has hit 1+ shot on target in 50% (5 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.

How many shots on target does Nicolas Jackson average?

Across his last 10 Premier League games, Nicolas Jackson is averaging 0.91 shots on target and 2.47 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Nicolas Jackson get booked?

Nicolas Jackson is averaging 0.39 cards per 90 over his last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Nicolas Jackson commit or win more fouls?

Over his last 10 games Nicolas Jackson commits 1.95 fouls per 90 and wins 1.17 — more than he wins. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent he faces.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Nicolas Jackson?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. Nicolas Jackson plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.