Nicolas Jackson
Striker 100% of 30 recent starts Aston VillaPremier League 26/27
Also in: La LigaBundesliga
What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Premier League striker, 25/26, 1,416 appearances
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Over the last 10 Premier League games, Nicolas Jackson has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10), 1+ total shot in 70%, 1+ foul committed in 80%, 1+ foul won in 40%, and been booked in 40% (4 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable strikers
Nicolas Jackson has no Premier League record yet, so this profile is drawn from the Bundesliga 25/26 season. These are the closest 5 Premier League strikers by standing within their own league — not by matching output, which does not carry across leagues. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolas JacksonAston VillaBundesliga | 23 | 3.30 | 1.30 |
| Benjamin ŠeškoManchester United | 30 | 3.36 | 0.94 |
| Danny WelbeckChelsea | 37 | 2.22 | 1.19 |
| Valentín CastellanosWest Ham United | 18 | 3.23 | 2.06 |
| Ollie WatkinsAston Villa | 37 | 2.62 | 1.10 |
| Callum WilsonBrentford | 32 | 2.71 | 0.86 |
| These 5, combined | 2.75 | 1.20 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Nicolas Jackson featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Tottenham19 Sep | 88 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Nottingham Forest12 Sep | 45 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| @ Hull City5 Sep | 85 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Arsenal31 Aug | 71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Newcastle11 May | 36 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Liverpool4 May | 72 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| Everton26 Apr | 89 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Fulham20 Apr | 78 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ipswich13 Apr | 87 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| @ Brentford6 Apr | 45 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 9 current Premier League officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Premier League referees
Frequently asked
How often does Nicolas Jackson have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Premier League games, Nicolas Jackson has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Nicolas Jackson average?
Across the last 10 Premier League games, Nicolas Jackson is averaging 0.65 shots on target and 2.46 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Nicolas Jackson get booked?
Nicolas Jackson is averaging 0.52 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Nicolas Jackson commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Nicolas Jackson commits 1.94 fouls per 90 and wins 0.78 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Nicolas Jackson?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Nicolas Jackson plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.