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SharpXI©
Premier League 26/27
JO

John McGinn

Winger 67% of 30 recent starts Aston VillaPremier League 26/27

Next match
Aston Villa vs Brentford›
Sat 10 OctReferee Craig Pawson

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Premier League winger, 25/26, 1,770 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.35 per 90
30%
3 of 100.9×
2.35MGMEdge
Total shots1.15 per 90
60%
6 of 100.9×
1.30bet365Edge
Fouls won2.19 per 90
80%Hot
8 of 101.7×
1.11PPEdge
Fouls committed1.27 per 90
60%
6 of 101.5×
1.25bet365Edge
Tackles0.81 per 90
60%
6 of 101.2×
20%
2 of 101.8×
Cards0.35 per 90
30%
3 of 103.5×
4.33bet365Edge
Goals0.12 per 90
10%
1 of 100.9×
form only
Assists0.46 per 90
40%
4 of 104.9×
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Over the last 10 Premier League games, John McGinn has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10), 1+ total shot in 60%, 1+ foul committed in 60%, 1+ foul won in 80%, and been booked in 30% (3 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable wingers

The closest 5 profiles to John McGinn in Premier League, 25/26 — drawn from 60 wingers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
John McGinnAston Villa 301.16 1.29
Jaidon AnthonyBrentford 371.80 0.92
Kaoru MitomaBrighton & Hove Albion 251.67 1.62
Dan NdoyeNottingham Forest 241.15 1.22
Omari HutchinsonAC Milan 311.33 1.22
Loum TchaounaCoventry City 291.57 0.89
These 5, combined 1.56 1.15

Recent matches

The last 10 games John McGinn featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ Tottenham19 Sep 84 0 0 1 1 0 0
Nottingham Forest12 Sep 90 0 0 0 5 1 0
@ Hull City5 Sep 90 0 1 1 2 2 0
Arsenal31 Aug 90 0 2 3 2 1 1
@ Brighton23 Aug 82 0 1 1 4 1 1
@ Man City24 May 16 1 1 0 0 1 0
Liverpool15 May 89 1 1 2 0 1 1
@ Burnley10 May 85 1 4 0 2 0 0
@ Fulham25 Apr 74 0 0 0 2 0 0
Sunderland19 Apr 80 0 0 3 1 0 0
Officials on record
Robert Jones 11 games John McGinn booked in 5 4.36cards/game 1.07×vs league
Andy Madley 10 games John McGinn booked in 4 3.71cards/game 0.91×vs league
Michael Oliver 9 games John McGinn booked in 1 3.67cards/game 0.90×vs league
Stuart Attwell 9 games John McGinn booked in 1 4.28cards/game 1.05×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 15 current Premier League officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Premier League referees

Frequently asked

How often does John McGinn have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Premier League games, John McGinn has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does John McGinn average?

Across the last 10 Premier League games, John McGinn is averaging 0.35 shots on target and 1.15 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does John McGinn get booked?

John McGinn is averaging 0.35 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does John McGinn commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games John McGinn commits 1.27 fouls per 90 and wins 2.19 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for John McGinn?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. John McGinn plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.