What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Premier League striker, 25/26, 1,416 appearances
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Over the last 10 Premier League games, Alexander Isak has hit 1+ shot on target in 80% (8 of 10), 1+ total shot in 80%, 1+ foul committed in 10%, 1+ foul won in 30%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable strikers
The closest 5 profiles to Alexander Isak in Premier League, 25/26 — drawn from 43 strikers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander IsakLiverpool FC | 14 | 2.14 | 0.63 |
| Danny WelbeckChelsea | 37 | 2.22 | 1.19 |
| Chris WoodNottingham Forest | 15 | 2.28 | 0.60 |
| Nick WoltemadeNewcastle United | 33 | 1.49 | 0.93 |
| Callum WilsonBrentford | 32 | 2.71 | 0.86 |
| EvanilsonBournemouth | 36 | 2.28 | 0.85 |
| These 5, combined | 2.16 | 0.93 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Alexander Isak featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Bournemouth20 Sep | 81 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Fulham12 Sep | 90 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Ipswich4 Sep | 64 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Nottingham Forest29 Aug | 90 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Newcastle23 Aug | 90 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Chelsea9 May | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Crystal Palace25 Apr | 79 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Everton19 Apr | 72 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Fulham11 Apr | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Tottenham20 Dec | 15 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 12 current Premier League officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Premier League referees
Frequently asked
How often does Alexander Isak have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Premier League games, Alexander Isak has hit 1+ shot on target in 80% (8 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Alexander Isak average?
Across the last 10 Premier League games, Alexander Isak is averaging 1.44 shots on target and 2.59 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Alexander Isak get booked?
Alexander Isak is averaging 0.14 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Alexander Isak commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Alexander Isak commits 0.14 fouls per 90 and wins 0.58 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Alexander Isak?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Alexander Isak plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.