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Premier League 26/27
VI

Virgil van Dijk

Centre-back 100% of 30 recent starts LiverpoolPremier League 26/27

Next match
Liverpool vs Manchester City›
Sun 11 OctReferee Chris Kavanagh

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Premier League centre-back, 25/26, 1,659 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.40 per 90
30%
3 of 102.3×
4.30MGMEdge
Total shots0.80 per 90
50%
5 of 101.4×
2.00bet365Edge
Fouls won0.30 per 90
20%
2 of 100.5×
2.38PPEdge
Fouls committed0.40 per 90
40%
4 of 100.9×
1.73bet365Edge
Tackles0.50 per 90
20%
2 of 100.3×
0%
0 of 10
Cards0.10 per 90
10%
1 of 100.7×
5.50bet365Edge
Goals0.20 per 90
10%
1 of 102.8×
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Over the last 10 Premier League games, Virgil van Dijk has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10), 1+ total shot in 50%, 1+ foul committed in 40%, 1+ foul won in 20%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable centre-backs

The closest 5 profiles to Virgil van Dijk in Premier League, 25/26 — drawn from 65 centre-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Virgil van DijkLiverpool FC 380.79 0.50
Sepp van den BergBrentford 320.75 0.49
Malick ThiawNewcastle United 350.85 0.73
Konstantinos MavropanosWest Ham United 310.82 0.57
Michael KeaneEverton 330.89 0.55
Matthijs de LigtManchester United 130.85 0.46
These 5, combined 0.83 0.58

Recent matches

The last 10 games Virgil van Dijk featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ Bournemouth20 Sep 90 0 0 0 0 0 0
Fulham12 Sep 90 0 0 1 0 0 0
@ Ipswich4 Sep 90 0 0 0 0 3 0
Nottingham Forest29 Aug 90 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ Newcastle23 Aug 90 1 2 0 0 2 1
Brentford24 May 90 0 1 0 2 0 0
@ Aston Villa15 May 90 2 2 1 0 0 0
Chelsea9 May 90 0 2 1 1 0 0
@ Man Utd3 May 90 1 1 1 0 0 0
Crystal Palace25 Apr 90 0 0 0 0 0 0
Officials on record
Chris Kavanagh 18 games Virgil van Dijk booked in 1 4.23cards/game 1.04×vs league
Andy Madley 15 games Virgil van Dijk booked in 1 3.71cards/game 0.91×vs league
Michael Oliver 13 games Virgil van Dijk never booked 3.67cards/game 0.90×vs league
Stuart Attwell 12 games Virgil van Dijk booked in 2 4.28cards/game 1.05×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 11 current Premier League officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Premier League referees

Frequently asked

How often does Virgil van Dijk have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Premier League games, Virgil van Dijk has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Virgil van Dijk average?

Across the last 10 Premier League games, Virgil van Dijk is averaging 0.40 shots on target and 0.80 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Virgil van Dijk get booked?

Virgil van Dijk is averaging 0.10 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Virgil van Dijk commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Virgil van Dijk commits 0.40 fouls per 90 and wins 0.30 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Virgil van Dijk?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Virgil van Dijk plays as a defender.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.