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SharpXI©
Bundesliga 25/26
NI

Nicolas Jackson

Striker 92% of 12 recent starts Aston VillaBundesliga 25/26

Also in: Premier LeagueLa Liga

Next match
Aston Villa at FC Augsburg›
Sat 10 OctReferee Sven Jablonski

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 23 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Bundesliga striker, 25/26, 1,379 appearances

Bet line
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target2.11 per 90
90%Hot
9 of 102.2×
Total shots3.78 per 90
90%Hot
9 of 101.3×
Fouls won0.91 per 90
50%
5 of 101.2×
Fouls committed1.36 per 90
50%
5 of 101.1×
Tackles0.91 per 90
50%
5 of 101.6×
10%
1 of 101.2×
Cards0.45 per 90
30%
3 of 103.3×
Goals0.76 per 90
50%
5 of 102.5×
form only
Assists0.15 per 90
10%
1 of 101.4×
form only
No bookmaker prices for this fixture yet. Player markets are usually priced closer to kickoff, and not every fixture carries every market. The hit rates and match-up above are complete either way.
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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In 25/26, Nicolas Jackson has hit 1+ shot on target in 70% of 23 Bundesliga appearances (16 of 23), 1+ total shot in 74%, 1+ foul committed in 39%, 1+ foul won in 39%, and been booked in 13% (3 of 23). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable strikers

The closest 5 profiles to Nicolas Jackson in Bundesliga, 25/26 — drawn from 47 strikers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Nicolas JacksonAston Villa 233.30 1.30
Christian KofaneBayer 04 Leverkusen 293.26 2.13
Said El Mala1. FC Köln 343.45 0.69
Sheraldo Becker1. FSV Mainz 05 142.74 1.23
Jonathan BurkardtEintracht Frankfurt 222.75 0.81
Patrik SchickBayer 04 Leverkusen 283.25 0.99
These 5, combined 3.15 1.10

Recent matches

The last 10 games Nicolas Jackson featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
1. FC Köln16 May 12 1 1 0 0 0 0
@ VfL Wolfsburg9 May 60 1 2 0 1 0 0
1. FC Heidenheim2 May 90 1 4 2 1 1 1
@ 1. FSV Mainz 0525 Apr 90 3 3 0 1 2 0
VfB Stuttgart19 Apr 90 1 2 0 0 1 0
@ FC St. Pauli11 Apr 90 3 7 1 0 1 0
@ Bayer 04 Leverkusen14 Mar 42 1 2 3 1 0 1
Borussia M'gladbach6 Mar 90 2 3 2 2 1 1
@ SV Werder Bremen14 Feb 10 0 0 0 0 0 0
TSG Hoffenheim8 Feb 22 1 1 1 0 0 0
Officials on record
Tobias Stieler 4 games Nicolas Jackson never booked 3.42cards/game 0.84×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 1 current Bundesliga official — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Bundesliga referees

Frequently asked

How often does Nicolas Jackson have a shot on target?

In 25/26, Nicolas Jackson has hit 1+ shot on target in 70% of 23 Bundesliga appearances (16 of 23). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Nicolas Jackson average?

Across 23 Bundesliga appearances in 25/26, Nicolas Jackson is averaging 1.82 shots on target and 3.30 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Nicolas Jackson get booked?

Nicolas Jackson is averaging 0.26 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Nicolas Jackson commit or win more fouls?

This season Nicolas Jackson commits 1.30 fouls per 90 and wins 0.87 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Nicolas Jackson?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Nicolas Jackson plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.