Dayot Upamecano
Centre-back 100% of 30 recent starts FC Bayern MünchenBundesliga 26/27
What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Bundesliga centre-back, 25/26, 1,091 appearances
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In 25/26, Dayot Upamecano has hit 1+ shot on target in 8% of 24 Bundesliga appearances (2 of 24), 1+ total shot in 29%, 1+ foul committed in 46%, 1+ foul won in 17%, and been booked in 17% (4 of 24). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable centre-backs
The closest 5 profiles to Dayot Upamecano in Bundesliga, 25/26 — drawn from 46 centre-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dayot UpamecanoFC Bayern München | 24 | 0.40 | 0.75 |
| Loïc BadéBayer 04 Leverkusen | 23 | 0.65 | 0.60 |
| Jeffrey GouweleeuwFC Augsburg | 11 | 0.53 | 0.74 |
| Cenk Özkaçar1. FC Köln | 25 | 0.55 | 0.55 |
| Waldemar AntonBorussia Dortmund | 32 | 0.50 | 0.84 |
| Robert AndrichBayer 04 Leverkusen | 32 | 0.42 | 1.06 |
| These 5, combined | 0.52 | 0.79 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Dayot Upamecano featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Union Berlin18 Sep | 45 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| @ SV 07 Elversberg13 Sep | 90 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| @ FC Schalke 045 Sep | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| VfB Stuttgart28 Aug | 90 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 1. FC Köln16 May | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| @ VfL Wolfsburg9 May | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 1. FC Union Berlin21 Mar | 61 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| @ Bayer 04 Leverkusen14 Mar | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
| Borussia M'gladbach6 Mar | 61 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Borussia Dortmund28 Feb | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 19 current Bundesliga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Bundesliga referees
Frequently asked
How often does Dayot Upamecano have a shot on target?
In 25/26, Dayot Upamecano has hit 1+ shot on target in 8% of 24 Bundesliga appearances (2 of 24). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Dayot Upamecano average?
Across 24 Bundesliga appearances in 25/26, Dayot Upamecano is averaging 0.10 shots on target and 0.40 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Dayot Upamecano get booked?
Dayot Upamecano is averaging 0.20 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Dayot Upamecano commit or win more fouls?
This season Dayot Upamecano commits 0.75 fouls per 90 and wins 0.25 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Dayot Upamecano?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Dayot Upamecano plays as a defender.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.