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Bundesliga · 25/26
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Dayot Upamecano

Defender · FC Bayern München · Bundesliga 25/26

In 25/26, Dayot Upamecano has hit 1+ shot on target in 8% of 24 Bundesliga appearances (2 of 24), 1+ total shot in 29%, 1+ foul committed in 46%, 1+ foul won in 17%, and been booked in 17% (4 of 24). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Bet line
MarketHit ratePer 90Model
10%1 of 10
0.11
20%2 of 10
0.34
50%5 of 10
0.68
10%1 of 10
0.11
Hit rate & per-90 are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own best price + model edge (Pro) when the odds feed connects. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.
last 10
Next match
FC Bayern München vs VfB Stuttgart
Fri 28 Aug

Recent matches

The last 10 games Dayot Upamecano featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonCards
1. FC Köln16 May 90 0 0 0 0 0
@ VfL Wolfsburg9 May 45 0 0 0 0 0
1. FC Union Berlin21 Mar 61 0 0 1 0 1
@ Bayer 04 Leverkusen14 Mar 90 0 0 0 0 0
Borussia M'gladbach6 Mar 61 0 1 1 0 0
@ Borussia Dortmund28 Feb 90 0 0 1 2 0
Eintracht Frankfurt21 Feb 90 0 0 0 0 0
TSG Hoffenheim8 Feb 90 0 0 0 0 0
@ Hamburger SV31 Jan 90 0 0 1 1 0
@ RB Leipzig17 Jan 90 0 0 2 0 0
Officials on record
Sven Jablonski 8 games · Dayot Upamecano booked in 3 3.70cards/game 0.90×vs league
Tobias Stieler 8 games · Dayot Upamecano booked in 3 3.37cards/game 0.82×vs league
Daniel Siebert 7 games · Dayot Upamecano booked in 3 4.25cards/game 1.04×vs league
Felix Zwayer 6 games · Dayot Upamecano booked in 1 4.39cards/game 1.07×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 17 current Bundesliga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Bundesliga referees →

Frequently asked

How often does Dayot Upamecano have a shot on target?

In 25/26, Dayot Upamecano has hit 1+ shot on target in 8% of 24 Bundesliga appearances (2 of 24). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.

How many shots on target does Dayot Upamecano average?

Across 24 Bundesliga appearances in 25/26, Dayot Upamecano is averaging 0.10 shots on target and 0.40 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Dayot Upamecano get booked?

Dayot Upamecano is averaging 0.20 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Dayot Upamecano commit or win more fouls?

This season Dayot Upamecano commits 0.75 fouls per 90 and wins 0.25 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Dayot Upamecano?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. Dayot Upamecano plays as a defender.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.