Tobias Stieler
Over the last 10 Bundesliga games Tobias Stieler has officiated, the average is 3.30 cards a match — 19% below the league average of 4.07. That splits 3.1 yellow and 0.2 red a game — a red in 2 of the 10. The away side sees more cards — 2.1 to 1.2 a game, a sharper split than the league's 0.3 gap. 5+ cards landed in 30% of those games (3 of 10), from a 17.4% foul-to-booking rate. Penalties come at about the league's rate: 21 awarded in 61 matches, 0.34 a game against a league average of 0.32. These are raw match figures from those games, not odds.
Match cards last 10 games
Career profile
The two numbers that matter are vs league — the multiplier the model applies to a player's booking chance — and conversion, the share of fouls Tobias Stieler turns into bookings. Conversion, not the raw foul count, is where a referee's real card tendency lives. Career figures across every Bundesliga season on record.
| Measure | Stieler | League avg |
|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 3.42 | 4.07 |
| vs league | 0.84× | 1.00× |
| Foul-to-card conversion | 16.3% | 18.4% |
| Fouls / match | 21.0 | 22.1 |
| Penalties awarded / match | 0.34 | 0.32 |
| Penalties awarded (total) | 21 in 61 | — |
| Red cards shown | 10 | — |
| Matches on record | 62 (14 in 25/26) | — |
Recent matches
The last 8 Bundesliga games Tobias Stieler took charge of — the actual card and foul counts a match-cards line settles on.
| Match | Score | Cards | Y | R | Pen | Fouls |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VfB Stuttgart v Borussia Dortmund19 Sep | 0–1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | — | 23 |
| 1. FSV Mainz 05 v SC Paderborn 0729 Aug | 0–0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 18 |
| Bayer 04 Leverkusen v Hamburger SV16 May | 1–1 | 3 1 pen | 3 | 0 | 1 | 19 |
| VfL Wolfsburg v Borussia M'gladbach25 Apr | 0–0 | 5 1 red | 4 | 1 | 0 | 16 |
| FC St. Pauli v FC Bayern München11 Apr | 0–5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 16 |
| 1. FSV Mainz 05 v Eintracht Frankfurt22 Mar | 2–1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 17 |
| Bayer 04 Leverkusen v 1. FSV Mainz 0528 Feb | 1–1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 22 |
| FC Bayern München v TSG Hoffenheim8 Feb | 5–1 | 5 1 red 2 pen | 4 | 1 | 2 | 20 |
● a red card▪ a penalty awarded in that match
Frequently asked
How many cards does Tobias Stieler give per game?
Tobias Stieler averages 3.42 cards a game across 62 Bundesliga matches — 16% below the league average of 4.07. On a Tobias Stieler appointment, the model multiplies every player's booking chance by 0.84.
Is Tobias Stieler a strict referee?
No — more lenient than most. The honest measure is foul-to-card conversion — the share of fouls that become bookings — and Tobias Stieler runs at 16.3% against a league average of 18.4%. Foul counts barely vary between officials; the rate at which a foul becomes a booking is where referees genuinely differ.
Does Tobias Stieler's record change bet builder card prices?
It should. The referee is the single biggest factor in the to-be-carded market, and the appointment is public before kick-off — so a strict official on a combative player is the archetypal card edge. The player cards guide walks through exactly how the model turns a tendency like this into a price.
How reliable is Tobias Stieler's card rate?
It rests on 62 career matches, a solid record. The model shrinks a referee's tendency toward the league average when the sample is thin and discounts its own confidence for officials with young records, so a number like this never gets trusted beyond what the evidence earns.
Rates shown are figures from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage and an opponent factor, and discounts its confidence for thin referee records, before flagging any card as value. It compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — card markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.