Tobias Stieler
Over the last 10 UEFA Champions League games Tobias Stieler has officiated, the average is 5.20 cards a match — 31% above the league average of 3.96. That splits 5.0 yellow and 0.2 red a game — a red in 2 of the 10. The away side sees more cards — 3.3 to 1.9 a game, a sharper split than the league's 0.3 gap. 5+ cards landed in 60% of those games (6 of 10), from a 21.1% foul-to-booking rate. These are raw match figures from those games, not odds.
Match cards last 10 games
Career profile
The two numbers that matter are vs league — the multiplier the model applies to a player's booking chance — and conversion, the share of fouls Tobias Stieler turns into bookings. Conversion, not the raw foul count, is where a referee's real card tendency lives. Career figures across every UEFA Champions League season on record.
| Measure | Stieler | League avg |
|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 4.54 | 3.96 |
| vs league | 1.15× | 1.00× |
| Foul-to-card conversion | 19.3% | 18.1% |
| Fouls / match | 23.5 | 21.9 |
| Red cards shown | 2 | — |
| Matches on record | 13 (2 in 25/26) | — |
Recent matches
The last 8 UEFA Champions League games Tobias Stieler took charge of — the actual card and foul counts a match-cards line settles on.
| Match | Score | Cards | Y | R | Fouls |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pafos FC v SK Slavia Praha28 Jan | 4–1 | 4● | 3 | 1 | 27 |
| Sporting CP v Club Brugge KV26 Nov | 3–0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 22 |
| PSV Eindhoven v Liverpool29 Jan | 3–2 | 6● | 5 | 1 | 22 |
| AC Milan v Girona FC22 Jan | 1–0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 30 |
| Feyenoord v AC Sparta Praha11 Dec | 4–2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 22 |
| Club Brugge KV v Aston Villa6 Nov | 1–0 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 24 |
| AS Monaco v FK Crvena Zvezda22 Oct | 5–1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 24 |
| PSV Eindhoven v Arsenal12 Dec | 1–1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 |
● a red card in that match
Tobias Stieler has officiated only 13 matches on our record — a thin sample. The model shrinks a thin referee tendency toward the league average and discounts its confidence until the evidence builds, so read the numbers above gently.
Frequently asked
How many cards does Tobias Stieler give per game?
Tobias Stieler averages 4.54 cards a game across 13 UEFA Champions League matches — 15% above the league average of 3.96. That's a raw rate from only 13 matches, so the model shrinks it toward the league average rather than trusting it outright.
Is Tobias Stieler a strict referee?
Slightly, yes. The honest measure is foul-to-card conversion — the share of fouls that become bookings — and Tobias Stieler runs at 19.3% against a league average of 18.1%. Foul counts barely vary between officials; the rate at which a foul becomes a booking is where referees genuinely differ.
Does Tobias Stieler's record change bet builder card prices?
It should. The referee is the single biggest factor in the to-be-carded market, and the appointment is public before kick-off — so a strict official on a combative player is the archetypal card edge. The player cards guide walks through exactly how the model turns a tendency like this into a price.
How reliable is Tobias Stieler's card rate?
It rests on 13 career matches, still a thin sample — read it gently. The model shrinks a referee's tendency toward the league average when the sample is thin and discounts its own confidence for officials with young records, so a number like this never gets trusted beyond what the evidence earns.
Rates shown are figures from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage and an opponent factor, and discounts its confidence for thin referee records, before flagging any card as value. It compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — card markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.