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Bundesliga 26/27
OZ

Ozan Kabak

Centre-back 73% of 30 recent starts TSG HoffenheimBundesliga 26/27

Next match
TSG Hoffenheim vs Hamburger SV›
Sat 10 OctReferee Harm Osmers

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Bundesliga centre-back, 25/26, 1,091 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.51 per 90
50%
5 of 103.5×
2.15MGMEdge
Total shots1.52 per 90
90%Hot
9 of 102.6×
1.21MGMEdge
Fouls won0.10 per 90
10%
1 of 100.3×
1.73bet365Edge
Fouls committed2.02 per 90
80%Hot
8 of 101.6×
1.12bet365Edge
Tackles1.01 per 90
70%
7 of 101.1×
0%
0 of 10
Cards0.40 per 90
40%
4 of 102.6×
2.75bet365Edge
Goals0.10 per 90
10%
1 of 102.0×
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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In 25/26, Ozan Kabak has hit 1+ shot on target in 32% of 25 Bundesliga appearances (8 of 25), 1+ total shot in 68%, 1+ foul committed in 52%, 1+ foul won in 28%, and been booked in 20% (5 of 25). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable centre-backs

The closest 5 profiles to Ozan Kabak in Bundesliga, 25/26 — drawn from 46 centre-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Ozan KabakTSG Hoffenheim 251.84 1.38
Stefan Bell1. FSV Mainz 05 181.03 1.29
Luka VuškovićHamburger SV 281.18 1.07
Leopold Querfeld1. FC Union Berlin 310.97 1.53
Konstantinos KoulierakisAS Roma 310.90 1.07
Emre CanBorussia Dortmund 90.72 1.45
These 5, combined 0.99 1.25

No close match — the nearest profile sits well outside the usual range, so read these five as the closest available rather than as like-for-like.

Recent matches

The last 10 games Ozan Kabak featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ SC Paderborn 0720 Sep 90 0 0 3 0 3 0
VfB Stuttgart12 Sep 90 1 1 1 0 1 0
Borussia Dortmund5 Sep 79 0 3 2 0 0 1
@ 1. FC Köln29 Aug 90 1 1 5 0 1 1
@ Borussia M'gladbach16 May 90 0 1 2 1 1 1
SV Werder Bremen9 May 90 0 2 1 0 0 0
VfB Stuttgart2 May 90 0 1 5 0 0 1
@ Hamburger SV25 Apr 90 1 3 0 0 2 0
Borussia Dortmund18 Apr 90 1 2 1 0 1 0
@ FC Augsburg10 Apr 90 1 1 0 0 1 0
Officials on record
Frank Willenborg 6 games Ozan Kabak booked in 3 4.73cards/game 1.16×vs league
Sven Jablonski 6 games Ozan Kabak booked in 1 3.62cards/game 0.89×vs league
Christian Dingert 6 games Ozan Kabak never booked 4.29cards/game 1.05×vs league
Florian Badstubner 5 games Ozan Kabak booked in 3 3.48cards/game 0.86×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 16 current Bundesliga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Bundesliga referees

Frequently asked

How often does Ozan Kabak have a shot on target?

In 25/26, Ozan Kabak has hit 1+ shot on target in 32% of 25 Bundesliga appearances (8 of 25). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Ozan Kabak average?

Across 25 Bundesliga appearances in 25/26, Ozan Kabak is averaging 0.61 shots on target and 1.84 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Ozan Kabak get booked?

Ozan Kabak is averaging 0.26 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Ozan Kabak commit or win more fouls?

This season Ozan Kabak commits 1.38 fouls per 90 and wins 0.41 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Ozan Kabak?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Ozan Kabak plays as a defender.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.