Sven Jablonski
Over the last 10 Bundesliga games Sven Jablonski has officiated, the average is 2.10 cards a match — 48% below the league average of 4.07. That's 2.1 yellow a game, with no red card in the 10. The away side sees more cards — 1.2 to 0.9 a game, in line with the league's 0.3 gap. 5+ cards landed in 0% of those games (0 of 10), from a 9.6% foul-to-booking rate. Penalties come at about the league's rate: 15 awarded in 66 matches, 0.23 a game against a league average of 0.32. These are raw match figures from those games, not odds.
Match cards last 10 games
Career profile
The two numbers that matter are vs league — the multiplier the model applies to a player's booking chance — and conversion, the share of fouls Sven Jablonski turns into bookings. Conversion, not the raw foul count, is where a referee's real card tendency lives. Career figures across every Bundesliga season on record.
| Measure | Jablonski | League avg |
|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 3.62 | 4.07 |
| vs league | 0.89× | 1.00× |
| Foul-to-card conversion | 17.6% | 18.4% |
| Fouls / match | 20.6 | 22.1 |
| Penalties awarded / match | 0.23 | 0.32 |
| Penalties awarded (total) | 15 in 66 | — |
| Red cards shown | 5 | — |
| Matches on record | 66 (17 in 25/26) | — |
Recent matches
The last 8 Bundesliga games Sven Jablonski took charge of — the actual card and foul counts a match-cards line settles on.
| Match | Score | Cards | Y | R | Pen | Fouls |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TSG Hoffenheim v VfB Stuttgart12 Sep | 2–1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 23 |
| RB Leipzig v Borussia M'gladbach29 Aug | 3–0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 23 |
| 1. FC Köln v 1. FC Heidenheim10 May | 1–3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 17 |
| RB Leipzig v 1. FC Union Berlin24 Apr | 3–1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 |
| VfB Stuttgart v Hamburger SV12 Apr | 4–0 | 3 1 pen | 3 | 0 | 1 | 24 |
| RB Leipzig v TSG Hoffenheim20 Mar | 5–0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 24 |
| SC Freiburg v 1. FC Union Berlin15 Mar | 0–1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 25 |
| Borussia Dortmund v FC Bayern München28 Feb | 2–3 | 1 1 pen | 1 | 0 | 1 | 25 |
● a red card▪ a penalty awarded in that match
Frequently asked
How many cards does Sven Jablonski give per game?
Sven Jablonski averages 3.62 cards a game across 66 Bundesliga matches — 11% below the league average of 4.07. On a Sven Jablonski appointment, the model multiplies every player's booking chance by 0.89.
Is Sven Jablonski a strict referee?
No — slightly more lenient than most. The honest measure is foul-to-card conversion — the share of fouls that become bookings — and Sven Jablonski runs at 17.6% against a league average of 18.4%. Foul counts barely vary between officials; the rate at which a foul becomes a booking is where referees genuinely differ.
Does Sven Jablonski's record change bet builder card prices?
It should. The referee is the single biggest factor in the to-be-carded market, and the appointment is public before kick-off — so a strict official on a combative player is the archetypal card edge. The player cards guide walks through exactly how the model turns a tendency like this into a price.
How reliable is Sven Jablonski's card rate?
It rests on 66 career matches, a solid record. The model shrinks a referee's tendency toward the league average when the sample is thin and discounts its own confidence for officials with young records, so a number like this never gets trusted beyond what the evidence earns.
Rates shown are figures from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage and an opponent factor, and discounts its confidence for thin referee records, before flagging any card as value. It compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — card markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.