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Bundesliga referee · card profile
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Sven Jablonski

Bundesliga referee · 64 matches on record · 18.1% conversion

Over the last 10 Bundesliga games Sven Jablonski has officiated, the average is 2.60 cards a match — 36% below the league average of 4.09. That's 2.6 yellow a game, with no red card in the 10. The away side sees more cards — 1.5 to 1.1 a game, a sharper split than the league's 0.2 gap. 5+ cards landed in 0% of those games (0 of 10), from a 11.7% foul-to-booking rate. Penalties come at about the league's rate: 15 awarded in 64 matches, 0.23 a game against a league average of 0.33. These are raw match figures from those games, not odds.

Last games
max 50 on record

Match cards last 10 games

Bet line
MarketHit ratePer gameModel
These are Sven Jablonski's own match figures — the raw card and foul counts from the matches covered. They're not adjusted for how aggressive the two teams are or whether it's a derby. The model layers those in — the referee tendency, each player's booking rate and an opponent card-induction factor — to price a specific leg. That combined verdict is the locked price · edge.
last 10

Career profile

The two numbers that matter are vs league — the multiplier the model applies to a player's booking chance — and conversion, the share of fouls Sven Jablonski turns into bookings. Conversion, not the raw foul count, is where a referee's real card tendency lives. Career figures across every Bundesliga season on record.

MeasureJablonski League avg
Cards / match3.70 4.09
vs league0.90× 1.00×
Foul-to-card conversion18.1% 18.5%
Fouls / match20.5 22.1
Penalties awarded / match0.23 0.33
Penalties awarded (total)15 in 64
Red cards shown5
Matches on record64 (17 in 25/26)

Recent matches

The last 8 Bundesliga games Sven Jablonski took charge of — the actual card and foul counts a match-cards line settles on.

MatchScoreCardsYRPenFouls
1. FC Köln v 1. FC Heidenheim10 May 1–3 4 4 0 0 17
RB Leipzig v 1. FC Union Berlin24 Apr 3–1 2 2 0 0 16
VfB Stuttgart v Hamburger SV12 Apr 4–0 3 3 0 1 24
RB Leipzig v TSG Hoffenheim20 Mar 5–0 2 2 0 0 24
SC Freiburg v 1. FC Union Berlin15 Mar 0–1 2 2 0 0 25
Borussia Dortmund v FC Bayern München28 Feb 2–3 1 1 0 1 25
Bayer 04 Leverkusen v FC St. Pauli14 Feb 4–0 1 1 0 0 18
Eintracht Frankfurt v TSG Hoffenheim24 Jan 1–3 4 4 0 0 24

Frequently asked

How many cards does Sven Jablonski give per game?

Sven Jablonski averages 3.70 cards a game across 64 Bundesliga matches — 10% below the league average of 4.09. On a Sven Jablonski appointment, the model multiplies every player's booking chance by 0.90.

Is Sven Jablonski a strict referee?

About average. The honest measure is foul-to-card conversion — the share of fouls that become bookings — and Sven Jablonski runs at 18.1% against a league average of 18.5%. Foul counts barely vary between officials; the rate at which a foul becomes a booking is where referees genuinely differ.

Does Sven Jablonski's record change bet builder card prices?

It should. The referee is the single biggest factor in the to-be-carded market, and the appointment is public before kick-off — so a strict official on a combative player is the archetypal card edge. The player cards guide walks through exactly how the model turns a tendency like this into a price.

How reliable is Sven Jablonski's card rate?

It rests on 64 career matches, a solid record. The model shrinks a referee's tendency toward the league average when the sample is thin and discounts its own confidence for officials with young records, so a number like this never gets trusted beyond what the evidence earns.

Rates shown are figures from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, an opponent factor and de-vigging, and discounts its confidence for thin referee records, before flagging any card as value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.