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Bundesliga referee · card profile
TI

Timo Gerach

Bundesliga referee · 29 matches on record · 19.7% conversion

Over the last 10 Bundesliga games Timo Gerach has officiated, the average is 4.40 cards a match — 8% above the league average of 4.09. That splits 4.1 yellow and 0.3 red a game — a red in 3 of the 10. The away side sees more cards — 2.3 to 2.1 a game, in line with the league's 0.2 gap. 5+ cards landed in 40% of those games (4 of 10), from a 21.5% foul-to-booking rate. Penalties come more often than most: 15 awarded in 29 matches, 0.52 a game against a league average of 0.33. These are raw match figures from those games, not odds.

Last games
max 29 on record

Match cards last 10 games

Bet line
MarketHit ratePer gameModel
These are Timo Gerach's own match figures — the raw card and foul counts from the matches covered. They're not adjusted for how aggressive the two teams are or whether it's a derby. The model layers those in — the referee tendency, each player's booking rate and an opponent card-induction factor — to price a specific leg. That combined verdict is the locked price · edge.
last 10

Career profile

The two numbers that matter are vs league — the multiplier the model applies to a player's booking chance — and conversion, the share of fouls Timo Gerach turns into bookings. Conversion, not the raw foul count, is where a referee's real card tendency lives. Career figures across every Bundesliga season on record.

MeasureGerach League avg
Cards / match4.10 4.09
vs league1.00× 1.00×
Foul-to-card conversion19.7% 18.5%
Fouls / match20.8 22.1
Penalties awarded / match0.52 0.33
Penalties awarded (total)15 in 29
Red cards shown9
Matches on record29 (9 in 25/26)

Recent matches

The last 8 Bundesliga games Timo Gerach took charge of — the actual card and foul counts a match-cards line settles on.

MatchScoreCardsYRPenFouls
FC St. Pauli v 1. FSV Mainz 053 May 1–2 4 4 0 0 18
VfL Wolfsburg v Eintracht Frankfurt11 Apr 1–2 3 3 0 0 17
1. FC Union Berlin v SV Werder Bremen8 Mar 1–4 5 4 1 1 18
VfL Wolfsburg v Borussia Dortmund7 Feb 1–2 2 2 0 0 23
SC Freiburg v Hamburger SV10 Jan 2–1 8 7 1 1 24
Borussia M'gladbach v RB Leipzig28 Nov 0–0 3 3 0 0 18
1. FC Köln v FC Augsburg18 Oct 1–1 4 4 0 1 27
SV Werder Bremen v SC Freiburg20 Sep 0–3 7 7 0 2 20

Frequently asked

How many cards does Timo Gerach give per game?

Timo Gerach averages 4.10 cards a game across 29 Bundesliga matches — roughly at the league average of 4.09. On a Timo Gerach appointment, the model multiplies every player's booking chance by 1.00.

Is Timo Gerach a strict referee?

Slightly, yes. The honest measure is foul-to-card conversion — the share of fouls that become bookings — and Timo Gerach runs at 19.7% against a league average of 18.5%. Foul counts barely vary between officials; the rate at which a foul becomes a booking is where referees genuinely differ.

Does Timo Gerach's record change bet builder card prices?

It should. The referee is the single biggest factor in the to-be-carded market, and the appointment is public before kick-off — so a strict official on a combative player is the archetypal card edge. The player cards guide walks through exactly how the model turns a tendency like this into a price.

How reliable is Timo Gerach's card rate?

It rests on 29 career matches, a solid record. The model shrinks a referee's tendency toward the league average when the sample is thin and discounts its own confidence for officials with young records, so a number like this never gets trusted beyond what the evidence earns.

Rates shown are figures from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, an opponent factor and de-vigging, and discounts its confidence for thin referee records, before flagging any card as value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.