1. FC Union Berlin v FC Schalke 04
How the SharpXI model rated this Bundesliga fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Before 1. FC Union Berlin lost to FC Schalke 04 1–3, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 13 landed — the strongest being Emmanuel Latte Lath for 1+ shots total (93%, had 1). Its clearest miss: Livan Burcu for 1+ shots total (89%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emmanuel Latte Lath | shots total | 1+ | 93% | 1 | ✓ |
| Livan Burcu | shots total | 1+ | 89% | 0 | ✗ |
| Marin Ljubičić | shots total | 1+ | 88% | 2 | ✓ |
| András Schäfer | tackles | 1+ | 86% | 1 | ✓ |
| Eric Ebimbe | tackles | 1+ | 86% | 3 | ✓ |
| Junior Adamu | shots total | 1+ | 83% | 3 | ✓ |
| Kenan Karaman | shots total | 1+ | 83% | 2 | ✓ |
| Adil Aouchiche | shots total | 1+ | 83% | 5 | ✓ |
| Timo Becker | tackles | 1+ | 83% | 3 | ✓ |
| Tom Alexander Rothe | tackles | 1+ | 83% | 1 | ✓ |
| Soufiane El-Faouzi | tackles | 1+ | 83% | 1 | ✓ |
| Emmanuel Latte Lath | shots on target | 1+ | 83% | 1 | ✓ |
| Kenan Karaman | fouls drawn | 1+ | 80% | 1 | ✓ |
| Woo-Yeong Jeong | shots total | 1+ | 80% | 5 | ✓ |
How these are modelled: Shots total Tackles Shots on target Fouls drawn
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match goals | O2.5 | 65% | 4 goals | ✓ |
| BTTS | Yes | 62% | Yes | ✓ |
| Match cards | O4.5 | 34% | 4 cards | ✗ |
How these are modelled: Match goals Match cards
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- 1. FC Union Berlin 0–0 FC Schalke 04 Feb 2023
- FC Schalke 04 1–6 1. FC Union Berlin Aug 2022
Frequently asked
How did the SharpXI model do on 1. FC Union Berlin v FC Schalke 04?
13 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.
What did the model get wrong on 1. FC Union Berlin v FC Schalke 04?
The most confident call it got wrong was Livan Burcu at 89% for shots total — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.
Are these probabilities hindsight?
No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.
Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the Bundesliga?
No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.