What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Bundesliga centre-back, 25/26, 1,091 appearances
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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.
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In 25/26, Stefan Posch has hit 1+ shot on target in 19% of 16 Bundesliga appearances (3 of 16), 1+ total shot in 56%, 1+ foul committed in 44%, 1+ foul won in 56%, and been booked in 25% (4 of 16). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable centre-backs
The closest 5 profiles to Stefan Posch in Bundesliga, 25/26 — drawn from 46 centre-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stefan Posch1. FSV Mainz 05 | 16 | 0.71 | 0.52 |
| Waldemar AntonBorussia Dortmund | 32 | 0.50 | 0.84 |
| Amos PieperSV Werder Bremen | 19 | 0.54 | 0.60 |
| Arthur ChavesTSG Hoffenheim | 15 | 0.42 | 1.10 |
| Keven SchlotterbeckSouthampton | 24 | 0.53 | 1.15 |
| Dayot UpamecanoFC Bayern München | 24 | 0.40 | 0.75 |
| These 5, combined | 0.48 | 0.88 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Stefan Posch featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Borussia M'gladbach19 Sep | 99 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
| Eintracht Frankfurt12 Sep | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| @ Hamburger SV6 Sep | 88 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ 1. FC Heidenheim16 May | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1. FC Union Berlin10 May | 90 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ FC St. Pauli3 May | 90 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| FC Bayern München25 Apr | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
| @ Borussia M'gladbach19 Apr | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| SC Freiburg12 Apr | 90 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
| @ TSG Hoffenheim4 Apr | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
Frequently asked
How often does Stefan Posch have a shot on target?
In 25/26, Stefan Posch has hit 1+ shot on target in 19% of 16 Bundesliga appearances (3 of 16). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Stefan Posch average?
Across 16 Bundesliga appearances in 25/26, Stefan Posch is averaging 0.19 shots on target and 0.71 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Stefan Posch get booked?
Stefan Posch is averaging 0.26 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Stefan Posch commit or win more fouls?
This season Stefan Posch commits 0.52 fouls per 90 and wins 0.77 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Stefan Posch?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Stefan Posch plays as a defender.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.