Willi Orbán
Centre-back 100% of 30 recent starts RB LeipzigBundesliga 26/27
What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Bundesliga centre-back, 25/26, 1,091 appearances
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In 25/26, Willi Orbán has hit 1+ shot on target in 21% of 33 Bundesliga appearances (7 of 33), 1+ total shot in 36%, 1+ foul committed in 39%, 1+ foul won in 55%, and been booked in 12% (4 of 33). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable centre-backs
The closest 5 profiles to Willi Orbán in Bundesliga, 25/26 — drawn from 46 centre-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Willi OrbánRB Leipzig | 33 | 0.61 | 0.64 |
| Robin KochEintracht Frankfurt | 32 | 0.48 | 0.98 |
| Patrick Mainka1. FC Heidenheim | 34 | 1.09 | 0.32 |
| Matthias GinterSC Freiburg | 32 | 0.60 | 0.51 |
| Waldemar AntonBorussia Dortmund | 32 | 0.50 | 0.84 |
| Amos PieperSV Werder Bremen | 19 | 0.54 | 0.60 |
| These 5, combined | 0.66 | 0.65 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Willi Orbán featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Bayer 04 Leverkusen20 Sep | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Hamburger SV13 Sep | 90 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ SV Werder Bremen5 Sep | 90 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Borussia M'gladbach29 Aug | 90 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ SC Freiburg16 May | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| FC St. Pauli9 May | 90 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Bayer 04 Leverkusen2 May | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| 1. FC Union Berlin24 Apr | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| Borussia M'gladbach11 Apr | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| @ SV Werder Bremen4 Apr | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 17 current Bundesliga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Bundesliga referees
Frequently asked
How often does Willi Orbán have a shot on target?
In 25/26, Willi Orbán has hit 1+ shot on target in 21% of 33 Bundesliga appearances (7 of 33). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Willi Orbán average?
Across 33 Bundesliga appearances in 25/26, Willi Orbán is averaging 0.27 shots on target and 0.61 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Willi Orbán get booked?
Willi Orbán is averaging 0.12 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Willi Orbán commit or win more fouls?
This season Willi Orbán commits 0.64 fouls per 90 and wins 0.70 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Willi Orbán?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Willi Orbán plays as a defender.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.