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Bundesliga 26/27
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Nadiem Amiri

Central midfielder 97% of 29 recent starts 1. FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga 26/27

Next match
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen›
Sat 10 OctReferee Max Burda

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Bundesliga central midfielder, 25/26, 1,878 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target1.13 per 90
70%
7 of 103.3×
1.70MGMEdge
Total shots2.60 per 90
80%Hot
8 of 101.6×
1.12bet365Edge
Fouls won1.13 per 90
70%
7 of 101.5×
1.29bet365Edge
Fouls committed0.68 per 90
50%
5 of 101.0×
1.20bet365Edge
Tackles0.79 per 90
50%
5 of 100.8×
22%
2 of 92.5×
Cards0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
2.88bet365Edge
Goals0.23 per 90
20%
2 of 102.8×
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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In 25/26, Nadiem Amiri has hit 1+ shot on target in 65% of 26 Bundesliga appearances (17 of 26), 1+ total shot in 77%, 1+ foul committed in 46%, 1+ foul won in 69%, and been booked in 23% (6 of 26). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable central midfielders

The closest 5 profiles to Nadiem Amiri in Bundesliga, 25/26 — drawn from 68 central midfielders with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Nadiem Amiri1. FSV Mainz 05 262.37 0.86
Jens StageSV Werder Bremen 292.04 1.28
Fábio VieiraHamburger SV 292.40 0.73
Grischa PrömelVfB Stuttgart 332.21 1.18
Leon GoretzkaAston Villa 311.61 0.69
Farès ChaïbiEintracht Frankfurt 281.75 0.70
These 5, combined 2.01 0.93

Recent matches

The last 10 games Nadiem Amiri featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ Borussia M'gladbach19 Sep 91 0 0 1 2 0 0
Eintracht Frankfurt12 Sep 85 1 2 0 0 2 0
@ Hamburger SV6 Sep 90 1 3 1 1 1 0
SC Paderborn 0729 Aug 90 0 2 1 1 0 0
@ 1. FC Heidenheim16 May 68 1 3 0 2 2 0
1. FC Union Berlin10 May 90 1 1 0 1 0 0
@ FC St. Pauli3 May 84 1 5 1 1 1 0
FC Bayern München25 Apr 79 3 5 2 0 0 0
@ Borussia M'gladbach19 Apr 90 2 2 0 2 0 0
SC Freiburg12 Apr 28 0 0 0 0 1 0
Officials on record
Benjamin Brand 8 games Nadiem Amiri booked in 2 4.36cards/game 1.07×vs league
Daniel Schlager 8 games Nadiem Amiri booked in 1 4.35cards/game 1.07×vs league
Felix Zwayer 8 games Nadiem Amiri booked in 1 4.35cards/game 1.07×vs league
Tobias Stieler 7 games Nadiem Amiri never booked 3.42cards/game 0.84×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 20 current Bundesliga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Bundesliga referees

Frequently asked

How often does Nadiem Amiri have a shot on target?

In 25/26, Nadiem Amiri has hit 1+ shot on target in 65% of 26 Bundesliga appearances (17 of 26). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Nadiem Amiri average?

Across 26 Bundesliga appearances in 25/26, Nadiem Amiri is averaging 0.99 shots on target and 2.37 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Nadiem Amiri get booked?

Nadiem Amiri is averaging 0.26 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Nadiem Amiri commit or win more fouls?

This season Nadiem Amiri commits 0.86 fouls per 90 and wins 1.12 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Nadiem Amiri?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Nadiem Amiri plays as a midfielder.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.