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Bundesliga 26/27
JO

Joshua Kimmich

Central midfielder 100% of 30 recent starts FC Bayern MünchenBundesliga 26/27

Next match
FC Bayern München at FC Augsburg›
Sat 10 OctReferee Sven Jablonski

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Bundesliga central midfielder, 25/26, 1,878 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.36 per 90
20%
2 of 100.9×
3.50MGMEdge
Total shots0.95 per 90
50%
5 of 101.0×
1.73MGMEdge
Fouls won0.83 per 90
50%
5 of 101.1×
1.40bet365Edge
Fouls committed0.12 per 90
10%
1 of 100.2×
1.73bet365Edge
Tackles1.30 per 90
70%
7 of 101.1×
20%
2 of 102.3×
Cards0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
7.00bet365Edge
Goals0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Assists0.47 per 90
20%
2 of 102.8×
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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In 25/26, Joshua Kimmich has hit 1+ shot on target in 21% of 29 Bundesliga appearances (6 of 29), 1+ total shot in 59%, 1+ foul committed in 24%, 1+ foul won in 45%, and been booked in 14% (4 of 29). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable central midfielders

The closest 5 profiles to Joshua Kimmich in Bundesliga, 25/26 — drawn from 68 central midfielders with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Joshua KimmichFC Bayern München 291.11 0.32
Aleix GarcíaBayer 04 Leverkusen 331.01 0.27
Christian EriksenVfL Wolfsburg 331.47 0.45
Maximilian ArnoldVfL Wolfsburg 250.68 0.82
Marcel SabitzerBorussia Dortmund 260.99 0.99
Julian Niehues1. FC Heidenheim 241.22 0.64
These 5, combined 1.09 0.59

Recent matches

The last 10 games Joshua Kimmich featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
1. FC Union Berlin18 Sep 90 0 0 0 0 1 0
@ SV 07 Elversberg13 Sep 25 1 1 0 1 0 0
@ FC Schalke 045 Sep 90 0 0 0 1 1 0
VfB Stuttgart28 Aug 90 0 0 0 2 1 0
1. FC Köln16 May 90 0 1 1 0 2 0
@ VfL Wolfsburg9 May 90 0 0 0 1 2 0
1. FC Heidenheim2 May 45 0 2 0 0 0 0
VfB Stuttgart19 Apr 90 0 2 0 0 1 0
@ FC St. Pauli11 Apr 59 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ SC Freiburg4 Apr 90 2 2 0 2 3 0
Officials on record
Daniel Siebert 10 games Joshua Kimmich booked in 2 4.18cards/game 1.03×vs league
Felix Zwayer 9 games Joshua Kimmich never booked 4.35cards/game 1.07×vs league
Sven Jablonski 8 games Joshua Kimmich booked in 1 3.62cards/game 0.89×vs league
Tobias Stieler 8 games Joshua Kimmich never booked 3.42cards/game 0.84×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 21 current Bundesliga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Bundesliga referees

Frequently asked

How often does Joshua Kimmich have a shot on target?

In 25/26, Joshua Kimmich has hit 1+ shot on target in 21% of 29 Bundesliga appearances (6 of 29). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Joshua Kimmich average?

Across 29 Bundesliga appearances in 25/26, Joshua Kimmich is averaging 0.39 shots on target and 1.11 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Joshua Kimmich get booked?

Joshua Kimmich is averaging 0.16 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Joshua Kimmich commit or win more fouls?

This season Joshua Kimmich commits 0.32 fouls per 90 and wins 0.83 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Joshua Kimmich?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Joshua Kimmich plays as a midfielder.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.