Harry Kane
Striker 90% of 30 recent starts FC Bayern MünchenBundesliga 26/27
Also in: Premier League
What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Bundesliga striker, 25/26, 1,379 appearances
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In 25/26, Harry Kane has hit 1+ shot on target in 87% of 31 Bundesliga appearances (27 of 31), 1+ total shot in 94%, 1+ foul committed in 58%, 1+ foul won in 55%, and been booked in 3% (1 of 31). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable strikers
The closest 5 profiles to Harry Kane in Bundesliga, 25/26 — drawn from 47 strikers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Harry KaneFC Bayern München | 31 | 4.50 | 0.94 |
| Deniz UndavVfB Stuttgart | 29 | 4.89 | 1.28 |
| Patrik SchickBayer 04 Leverkusen | 28 | 3.25 | 0.99 |
| Serhou GuirassyBorussia Dortmund | 33 | 3.22 | 1.49 |
| Nicolas JacksonAston Villa | 23 | 3.30 | 1.30 |
| Said El Mala1. FC Köln | 34 | 3.45 | 0.69 |
| These 5, combined | 3.67 | 1.16 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Harry Kane featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Union Berlin18 Sep | 77 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ SV 07 Elversberg13 Sep | 90 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ FC Schalke 045 Sep | 45 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| VfB Stuttgart28 Aug | 84 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| 1. FC Köln16 May | 90 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ VfL Wolfsburg9 May | 90 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 1. FC Heidenheim2 May | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ 1. FSV Mainz 0525 Apr | 45 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| VfB Stuttgart19 Apr | 45 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1. FC Union Berlin21 Mar | 90 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 19 current Bundesliga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Bundesliga referees
Frequently asked
How often does Harry Kane have a shot on target?
In 25/26, Harry Kane has hit 1+ shot on target in 87% of 31 Bundesliga appearances (27 of 31). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Harry Kane average?
Across 31 Bundesliga appearances in 25/26, Harry Kane is averaging 2.53 shots on target and 4.50 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Harry Kane get booked?
Harry Kane is averaging 0.04 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Harry Kane commit or win more fouls?
This season Harry Kane commits 0.94 fouls per 90 and wins 1.21 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Harry Kane?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Harry Kane plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.