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Bundesliga · 25/26
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Moussa Diaby

Forward · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Bundesliga 25/26

Over the last 10 Bundesliga games, Moussa Diaby has hit 1+ shot on target in 40% (4 of 10), 1+ total shot in 100%, 1+ foul committed in 30%, 1+ foul won in 60%, and been booked in 20% (2 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

Last games
max 33 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Bet line
MarketHit ratePer 90Model
40%4 of 10
0.86
100%Hot10 of 10
3.42
60%6 of 10
1.07
30%3 of 10
0.53
20%2 of 10
0.21
10%1 of 10
0.11
form only
30%3 of 10
0.43
form only
Hit rate & per-90 are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own best price + model edge (Pro) when the odds feed connects. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.
last 10
Next match
Bayer 04 Leverkusen at SV 07 Elversberg
Sat 29 Aug

Recent matches

The last 10 games Moussa Diaby featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonCards
@ VfL Bochum 184827 May 89 0 3 1 1 1
Borussia M'gladbach21 May 84 0 3 0 4 0
@ VfB Stuttgart14 May 90 0 2 2 0 0
1. FC Köln5 May 90 0 4 0 2 0
@ 1. FC Union Berlin29 Apr 62 0 2 0 0 0
RB Leipzig23 Apr 68 0 2 0 1 0
@ VfL Wolfsburg16 Apr 90 2 5 2 0 1
Eintracht Frankfurt8 Apr 90 3 3 0 1 0
@ FC Schalke 041 Apr 90 2 5 0 1 0
FC Bayern München19 Mar 89 1 3 0 0 0
Officials on record
Tobias Stieler 4 games · Moussa Diaby never booked 3.37cards/game 0.82×vs league
Tobias Welz 3 games · Moussa Diaby booked in 1 4.75cards/game 1.16×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 2 current Bundesliga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Bundesliga referees →

Frequently asked

How often does Moussa Diaby have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Bundesliga games, Moussa Diaby has hit 1+ shot on target in 40% (4 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.

How many shots on target does Moussa Diaby average?

Across the last 10 Bundesliga games, Moussa Diaby is averaging 0.86 shots on target and 3.42 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Moussa Diaby get booked?

Moussa Diaby is averaging 0.21 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Moussa Diaby commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Moussa Diaby commits 0.53 fouls per 90 and wins 1.07 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Moussa Diaby?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. Moussa Diaby plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.