What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Bundesliga striker, 25/26, 1,379 appearances
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In 25/26, Deniz Undav has hit 1+ shot on target in 69% of 29 Bundesliga appearances (20 of 29), 1+ total shot in 97%, 1+ foul committed in 69%, 1+ foul won in 55%, and been booked in 17% (5 of 29). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable strikers
The closest 5 profiles to Deniz Undav in Bundesliga, 25/26 — drawn from 47 strikers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deniz UndavVfB Stuttgart | 29 | 4.89 | 1.28 |
| Harry KaneFC Bayern München | 31 | 4.50 | 0.94 |
| Patrik SchickBayer 04 Leverkusen | 28 | 3.25 | 0.99 |
| Nicolas JacksonAston Villa | 23 | 3.30 | 1.30 |
| Said El Mala1. FC Köln | 34 | 3.45 | 0.69 |
| Serhou GuirassyBorussia Dortmund | 33 | 3.22 | 1.49 |
| These 5, combined | 3.59 | 1.07 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Deniz Undav featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund19 Sep | 64 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ TSG Hoffenheim12 Sep | 25 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1. FC Köln4 Sep | 70 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ FC Bayern München28 Aug | 74 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Eintracht Frankfurt16 May | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Bayer 04 Leverkusen9 May | 68 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ TSG Hoffenheim2 May | 90 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| SV Werder Bremen26 Apr | 90 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Hamburger SV12 Apr | 88 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Borussia Dortmund4 Apr | 90 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 17 current Bundesliga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Bundesliga referees
Frequently asked
How often does Deniz Undav have a shot on target?
In 25/26, Deniz Undav has hit 1+ shot on target in 69% of 29 Bundesliga appearances (20 of 29). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Deniz Undav average?
Across 29 Bundesliga appearances in 25/26, Deniz Undav is averaging 1.84 shots on target and 4.89 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Deniz Undav get booked?
Deniz Undav is averaging 0.20 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Deniz Undav commit or win more fouls?
This season Deniz Undav commits 1.28 fouls per 90 and wins 0.92 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Deniz Undav?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Deniz Undav plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.