Updated daily through the season. Spot something off? Tell usUpdated daily. Tell us
SharpXI©
Premier League 22/23
DE

Deniz Undav

Attacking midfielder 67% of 6 recent starts VfB StuttgartPremier League 22/23

Also in: Bundesliga

Next match
VfB Stuttgart at Sunderland›
Sat 10 OctReferee Thomas Bramall

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 22 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Premier League attacking midfielder, 25/26, 908 appearances

Bet line
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target1.95 per 90
40%
4 of 101.1×
Total shots3.17 per 90
60%
6 of 100.9×
Fouls won0.73 per 90
20%
2 of 100.3×
Fouls committed2.93 per 90
60%
6 of 101.2×
Tackles0.73 per 90
30%
3 of 100.5×
10%
1 of 100.7×
Cards0.49 per 90
20%
2 of 101.9×
Goals1.22 per 90
40%
4 of 103.0×
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
No bookmaker prices for this fixture yet. Player markets are usually priced closer to kickoff, and not every fixture carries every market. The hit rates and match-up above are complete either way.
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox

Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

Confirmed by a link. Unsubscribe in one click. Or open the player report.

Over the last 10 Premier League games, Deniz Undav has hit 1+ shot on target in 40% (4 of 10), 1+ total shot in 60%, 1+ foul committed in 60%, 1+ foul won in 20%, and been booked in 20% (2 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable strikers

Deniz Undav has no Premier League record yet, so this profile is drawn from the Bundesliga 25/26 season. These are the closest 5 Premier League strikers by standing within their own league — not by matching output, which does not carry across leagues. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Deniz UndavVfB StuttgartBundesliga 294.89 1.28
Erling HaalandManchester City 353.83 0.73
Valentín CastellanosWest Ham United 183.23 2.06
Benjamin ŠeškoManchester United 303.36 0.94
Ollie WatkinsAston Villa 372.62 1.10
Jean-Philippe MatetaCrystal Palace 322.55 0.85
These 5, combined 3.12 1.05

Recent matches

The last 10 games Deniz Undav featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ Aston Villa28 May 89 2 3 1 0 1 1
Man City24 May 15 0 0 0 0 0 0
Southampton21 May 16 0 1 0 0 0 0
@ Newcastle18 May 85 1 2 3 1 0 1
@ Arsenal14 May 8 3 3 2 0 0 0
Everton8 May 45 0 0 0 2 0 0
Man Utd4 May 15 0 1 1 0 1 0
Wolves29 Apr 80 2 3 4 0 1 0
@ Nottingham Forest26 Apr 15 0 0 1 0 0 0
@ Bournemouth4 Apr 1 0 0 0 0 0 0

Frequently asked

How often does Deniz Undav have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Premier League games, Deniz Undav has hit 1+ shot on target in 40% (4 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Deniz Undav average?

Across the last 10 Premier League games, Deniz Undav is averaging 1.95 shots on target and 3.17 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Deniz Undav get booked?

Deniz Undav is averaging 0.49 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Deniz Undav commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Deniz Undav commits 2.93 fouls per 90 and wins 0.73 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Deniz Undav?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Deniz Undav plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.