Updated daily through the season. Spot something off? Tell usUpdated daily. Tell us
SharpXI©
Bundesliga 26/27
LU

Lukas Petkov

Winger 100% of 6 recent starts SV 07 ElversbergBundesliga 26/27

Next match
SV 07 Elversberg at 1. FC Union Berlin›
Sat 10 OctReferee Tobias Reichel

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 13 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Bundesliga winger, 25/26, 865 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.70 per 90
40%
4 of 101.1×
1.67bet365Edge
Total shots1.53 per 90
60%
6 of 101.0×
1.11bet365Edge
Fouls won0.98 per 90
50%
5 of 101.0×
1.29bet365Edge
Fouls committed1.53 per 90
60%
6 of 101.5×
1.33bet365Edge
Tackles2.37 per 90
70%
7 of 101.5×
20%
2 of 101.4×
Cards0.14 per 90
10%
1 of 101.1×
4.50bet365Edge
Goals0.28 per 90
20%
2 of 101.4×
form only
Assists0.14 per 90
10%
1 of 100.9×
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox

Picked from 41 selections across 14 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

Confirmed by a link. Unsubscribe in one click. Or open the player report.

Over the last 10 Bundesliga games, Lukas Petkov has hit 1+ shot on target in 40% (4 of 10), 1+ total shot in 60%, 1+ foul committed in 60%, 1+ foul won in 50%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Recent matches

The last 10 games Lukas Petkov featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ FC Schalke 0420 Sep 91 1 3 0 1 4 0
FC Bayern München13 Sep 83 0 0 0 1 4 0
@ Borussia M'gladbach5 Sep 90 2 2 2 2 4 0
Bayer 04 Leverkusen29 Aug 90 1 2 3 2 2 0
1. FC Heidenheim26 May 89 0 1 1 0 0 0
@ 1. FC Heidenheim22 May 86 1 1 2 1 1 0
VfL Bochum 184812 Nov 13 0 2 0 0 1 0
@ 1. FC Union Berlin9 Nov 24 0 0 2 0 0 0
@ VfB Stuttgart29 Oct 64 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ 1. FC Köln16 Oct 16 0 0 1 0 1 1
Officials on record
Sascha Stegemann 3 games Lukas Petkov never booked 3.95cards/game 0.97×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 1 current Bundesliga official — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Bundesliga referees

Frequently asked

How often does Lukas Petkov have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Bundesliga games, Lukas Petkov has hit 1+ shot on target in 40% (4 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Lukas Petkov average?

Across the last 10 Bundesliga games, Lukas Petkov is averaging 0.70 shots on target and 1.53 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Lukas Petkov get booked?

Lukas Petkov is averaging 0.14 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Lukas Petkov commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Lukas Petkov commits 1.53 fouls per 90 and wins 0.98 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Lukas Petkov?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Lukas Petkov plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.