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Bundesliga 26/27
GR

Grischa Prömel

Central midfielder 77% of 30 recent starts VfB StuttgartBundesliga 26/27

Next match
VfB Stuttgart at SC Paderborn 07›
Sat 10 OctReferee Felix Zwayer

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Bundesliga central midfielder, 25/26, 1,878 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.58 per 90
40%
4 of 101.9×
2.18MGMEdge
Total shots1.90 per 90
70%
7 of 101.4×
1.21MGMEdge
Fouls won0.88 per 90
60%
6 of 101.3×
1.18bet365Edge
Fouls committed1.31 per 90
60%
6 of 101.2×
1.33bet365Edge
Tackles0.73 per 90
50%
5 of 100.8×
20%
2 of 102.3×
Cards0.44 per 90
30%
3 of 102.0×
4.00bet365Edge
Goals0.15 per 90
10%
1 of 101.4×
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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In 25/26, Grischa Prömel has hit 1+ shot on target in 39% of 33 Bundesliga appearances (13 of 33), 1+ total shot in 64%, 1+ foul committed in 52%, 1+ foul won in 55%, and been booked in 15% (5 of 33). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable central midfielders

The closest 5 profiles to Grischa Prömel in Bundesliga, 25/26 — drawn from 68 central midfielders with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Grischa PrömelVfB Stuttgart 332.21 1.18
Jens StageSV Werder Bremen 292.04 1.28
Farès ChaïbiEintracht Frankfurt 281.75 0.70
Nadiem Amiri1. FSV Mainz 05 262.37 0.86
Albert Sambi LokongaHamburger SV 261.00 1.05
Rocco ReitzRB Leipzig 311.60 1.19
These 5, combined 1.78 1.04

Recent matches

The last 10 games Grischa Prömel featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
Borussia Dortmund19 Sep 84 0 1 1 0 1 0
@ TSG Hoffenheim12 Sep 90 1 3 0 1 0 0
1. FC Köln4 Sep 90 1 3 1 1 0 0
@ FC Bayern München28 Aug 90 1 2 2 1 0 1
@ Borussia M'gladbach16 May 25 0 0 0 0 1 0
SV Werder Bremen9 May 1 0 0 0 1 0 0
@ Hamburger SV25 Apr 26 1 1 2 1 1 1
Borussia Dortmund18 Apr 30 0 0 0 1 0 0
@ FC Augsburg10 Apr 90 0 2 1 0 1 1
1. FSV Mainz 054 Apr 90 0 1 2 0 1 0
Officials on record
Christian Dingert 7 games Grischa Prömel booked in 2 4.29cards/game 1.05×vs league
Florian Badstubner 6 games Grischa Prömel booked in 1 3.48cards/game 0.86×vs league
Frank Willenborg 6 games Grischa Prömel booked in 1 4.73cards/game 1.16×vs league
Sven Jablonski 6 games Grischa Prömel booked in 1 3.62cards/game 0.89×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 15 current Bundesliga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Bundesliga referees

Frequently asked

How often does Grischa Prömel have a shot on target?

In 25/26, Grischa Prömel has hit 1+ shot on target in 39% of 33 Bundesliga appearances (13 of 33). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Grischa Prömel average?

Across 33 Bundesliga appearances in 25/26, Grischa Prömel is averaging 0.72 shots on target and 2.21 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Grischa Prömel get booked?

Grischa Prömel is averaging 0.26 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Grischa Prömel commit or win more fouls?

This season Grischa Prömel commits 1.18 fouls per 90 and wins 1.44 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Grischa Prömel?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Grischa Prömel plays as a midfielder.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.