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Bundesliga 26/27
ER

Ermedin Demirović

Striker 97% of 30 recent starts VfB StuttgartBundesliga 26/27

Next match
VfB Stuttgart at SC Paderborn 07›
Sat 10 OctReferee Felix Zwayer

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Bundesliga striker, 25/26, 1,379 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target1.87 per 90
80%Hot
8 of 101.9×
1.42MGMEdge
Total shots3.40 per 90
90%Hot
9 of 101.3×
1.02bet365Edge
Fouls won1.70 per 90
80%Hot
8 of 101.9×
1.44bet365Edge
Fouls committed2.21 per 90
70%
7 of 101.5×
1.17bet365Edge
Tackles0.68 per 90
40%
4 of 101.3×
0%
0 of 10
Cards0.34 per 90
20%
2 of 102.2×
4.50bet365Edge
Goals0.68 per 90
40%
4 of 102.0×
form only
Assists0.17 per 90
10%
1 of 101.4×
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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In 25/26, Ermedin Demirović has hit 1+ shot on target in 64% of 25 Bundesliga appearances (16 of 25), 1+ total shot in 76%, 1+ foul committed in 64%, 1+ foul won in 60%, and been booked in 20% (5 of 25). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable strikers

The closest 5 profiles to Ermedin Demirović in Bundesliga, 25/26 — drawn from 47 strikers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Ermedin DemirovićVfB Stuttgart 252.45 2.21
Christian KofaneBayer 04 Leverkusen 293.26 2.13
Budu Zivzivadze1. FC Heidenheim 202.20 1.18
Phillip Tietz1. FSV Mainz 05 292.59 1.89
Ansgar KnauffEintracht Frankfurt 282.36 1.76
Haris TabakovićBorussia M'gladbach 322.52 1.80
These 5, combined 2.58 1.78

Recent matches

The last 10 games Ermedin Demirović featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
Borussia Dortmund19 Sep 90 1 1 1 1 1 1
@ TSG Hoffenheim12 Sep 65 2 4 1 1 0 0
1. FC Köln4 Sep 20 1 1 0 1 0 0
@ FC Bayern München28 Aug 27 0 2 1 1 0 0
@ Eintracht Frankfurt16 May 86 1 1 2 1 1 1
Bayer 04 Leverkusen9 May 90 3 6 2 2 1 0
@ TSG Hoffenheim2 May 35 1 1 0 1 0 0
SV Werder Bremen26 Apr 33 1 2 3 2 0 0
@ FC Bayern München19 Apr 14 0 0 0 0 1 0
Hamburger SV12 Apr 70 1 2 3 0 0 0
Officials on record
Christian Dingert 8 games Ermedin Demirović booked in 3 4.29cards/game 1.05×vs league
Sascha Stegemann 8 games Ermedin Demirović booked in 2 3.95cards/game 0.97×vs league
Tobias Welz 8 games Ermedin Demirović booked in 2 4.75cards/game 1.17×vs league
Daniel Siebert 8 games Ermedin Demirović booked in 1 4.18cards/game 1.03×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 21 current Bundesliga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Bundesliga referees

Frequently asked

How often does Ermedin Demirović have a shot on target?

In 25/26, Ermedin Demirović has hit 1+ shot on target in 64% of 25 Bundesliga appearances (16 of 25). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Ermedin Demirović average?

Across 25 Bundesliga appearances in 25/26, Ermedin Demirović is averaging 1.31 shots on target and 2.45 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Ermedin Demirović get booked?

Ermedin Demirović is averaging 0.30 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Ermedin Demirović commit or win more fouls?

This season Ermedin Demirović commits 2.21 fouls per 90 and wins 1.55 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Ermedin Demirović?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Ermedin Demirović plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.