Updated daily through the season. Spot something off? Tell usUpdated daily. Tell us
SharpXI©
Bundesliga 26/27
AD

Adam Hložek

Striker 53% of 30 recent starts TSG HoffenheimBundesliga 26/27

Next match
TSG Hoffenheim vs Hamburger SV›
Sat 10 OctReferee Harm Osmers

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Bundesliga striker, 25/26, 1,379 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target1.14 per 90
30%
3 of 100.7×
1.29bet365Edge
Total shots3.86 per 90
70%
7 of 101.0×
1.02bet365Edge
Fouls won0.68 per 90
30%
3 of 100.7×
1.30bet365Edge
Fouls committed1.14 per 90
20%
2 of 100.4×
1.53bet365Edge
Tackles0.91 per 90
30%
3 of 101.0×
10%
1 of 101.2×
Cards0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
4.75bet365Edge
Goals0.45 per 90
10%
1 of 100.5×
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox

Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

Confirmed by a link. Unsubscribe in one click. Or open the player report.

Over the last 10 Bundesliga games, Adam Hložek has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10), 1+ total shot in 70%, 1+ foul committed in 20%, 1+ foul won in 30%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable strikers

The closest 5 profiles to Adam Hložek in Bundesliga, 25/26 — drawn from 48 strikers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Adam HložekTSG Hoffenheim 57.50 0.00
Harry KaneFC Bayern München 314.50 0.94
Conrad HarderRC Strasbourg 294.11 2.06
Deniz UndavVfB Stuttgart 294.89 1.28
Said El Mala1. FC Köln 343.45 0.69
Serhou GuirassyBorussia Dortmund 333.22 1.49
These 5, combined 4.04 1.21

No close match — the nearest profile sits well outside the usual range, so read these five as the closest available rather than as like-for-like.

Recent matches

The last 10 games Adam Hložek featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ SC Paderborn 0720 Sep 62 0 2 2 0 0 0
VfB Stuttgart12 Sep 82 3 7 3 0 0 0
Borussia Dortmund5 Sep 73 1 2 0 1 1 0
@ 1. FC Köln29 Aug 53 0 2 0 0 1 0
@ Borussia M'gladbach16 May 14 0 2 0 1 0 0
SV Werder Bremen9 May 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ VfB Stuttgart20 Dec 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
Hamburger SV13 Dec 10 1 1 0 0 0 0
@ Borussia Dortmund7 Dec 10 0 0 0 0 0 0
FC Bayern München17 May 90 0 1 0 1 2 0
Officials on record
Tobias Stieler 6 games Adam Hložek booked in 1 3.42cards/game 0.84×vs league
Christian Dingert 6 games Adam Hložek never booked 4.29cards/game 1.05×vs league
Daniel Siebert 6 games Adam Hložek never booked 4.18cards/game 1.03×vs league
Frank Willenborg 6 games Adam Hložek never booked 4.73cards/game 1.16×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 16 current Bundesliga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Bundesliga referees

Frequently asked

How often does Adam Hložek have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Bundesliga games, Adam Hložek has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Adam Hložek average?

Across the last 10 Bundesliga games, Adam Hložek is averaging 1.14 shots on target and 3.86 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Adam Hložek get booked?

Adam Hložek is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Adam Hložek commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Adam Hložek commits 1.14 fouls per 90 and wins 0.68 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Adam Hložek?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Adam Hložek plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.