Michael Gregoritsch
Striker 97% of 30 recent starts FC AugsburgBundesliga 26/27
What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Bundesliga striker, 25/26, 1,379 appearances
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In 25/26, Michael Gregoritsch has hit 1+ shot on target in 35% of 17 Bundesliga appearances (6 of 17), 1+ total shot in 65%, 1+ foul committed in 24%, 1+ foul won in 53%, and been booked in 12% (2 of 17). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable strikers
The closest 5 profiles to Michael Gregoritsch in Bundesliga, 25/26 — drawn from 47 strikers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Michael GregoritschFC Augsburg | 17 | 2.82 | 0.49 |
| Marius Bülter1. FC Köln | 32 | 2.35 | 0.95 |
| Fisnik AsllaniTSG Hoffenheim | 33 | 2.79 | 0.99 |
| Said El Mala1. FC Köln | 34 | 3.45 | 0.69 |
| Arnaud KalimuendoNottingham Forest | 19 | 1.90 | 0.57 |
| Budu Zivzivadze1. FC Heidenheim | 20 | 2.20 | 1.18 |
| These 5, combined | 2.63 | 0.87 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Michael Gregoritsch featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ SV Werder Bremen19 Sep | 53 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Bayer 04 Leverkusen12 Sep | 85 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Eintracht Frankfurt6 Sep | 72 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| FC Schalke 0430 Aug | 83 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ 1. FC Union Berlin16 May | 77 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Borussia M'gladbach9 May | 79 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ SV Werder Bremen2 May | 67 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Eintracht Frankfurt25 Apr | 59 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| TSG Hoffenheim10 Apr | 64 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Hamburger SV4 Apr | 90 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 16 current Bundesliga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Bundesliga referees
Frequently asked
How often does Michael Gregoritsch have a shot on target?
In 25/26, Michael Gregoritsch has hit 1+ shot on target in 35% of 17 Bundesliga appearances (6 of 17). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Michael Gregoritsch average?
Across 17 Bundesliga appearances in 25/26, Michael Gregoritsch is averaging 0.97 shots on target and 2.82 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Michael Gregoritsch get booked?
Michael Gregoritsch is averaging 0.19 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Michael Gregoritsch commit or win more fouls?
This season Michael Gregoritsch commits 0.49 fouls per 90 and wins 1.65 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Michael Gregoritsch?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Michael Gregoritsch plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.