Goals — the players who score most often
Goals is the biggest player market in the Bundesliga bet builder, and the one most builders are built around. SharpXI shows how often each player has actually scored — the raw record across every finished match, not a projection.
How these numbers are built
Two numbers, both counted rather than estimated. The per-90 rate is goals divided by minutes played, times ninety, across the season, with a 450-minute minimum so a single substitute appearance cannot top the table. The 1+ hit rate is the share of appearances in which the player scored at least once. Nothing here is shrunk, recency-weighted or adjusted for the opponent — those steps belong to the markets SharpXI models, and goals is not one of them.
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How to read them
The hit rate is the more useful of the two for a builder leg, because a leg either lands or it does not. A high per-90 rate built on thin minutes flatters a player whose hit rate is modest, which is why the table ranks by hit rate first. Read both columns together, and treat a small appearance count with care.
Bundesliga — how this market behaves
Over 308 Bundesliga matches in 25/26, a player recorded 1+ goals in 9.1% of the 9,617 appearances counted here. SharpXI publishes no model verdict on goals in any league — this page is the record only.
Hit rate only. SharpXI does not publish a model verdict on goals. There is no modelled probability and no price comparison on this market — the table below is a record of what has already happened. The markets SharpXI does model, and its record on each, are on the Bundesliga markets page and the track record.
Bundesliga leaders this season
In the 25/26 Bundesliga season, Harry Kane (FC Bayern München) recorded 1+ goals in 71% of appearances, ahead of Deniz Undav (52%) and Ermedin Demirović (44%). Hit rates are over completed matches, minimum 450 minutes played.
Per-90 rates across the league (25/26 season, minimum 450 minutes) — the players whose underlying numbers drive this market.
| Player | Team | Per 90 | 1+ hit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Harry Kane | FC Bayern München | 1.36 | 71% |
| Deniz Undav | VfB Stuttgart | 0.76 | 52% |
| Ermedin Demirović | VfB Stuttgart | 0.72 | 44% |
| Serhou Guirassy | Borussia Dortmund | 0.65 | 42% |
| Nadiem Amiri | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 0.52 | 42% |
| Jonathan Burkardt | Eintracht Frankfurt | 0.87 | 41% |
| Said El Mala | 1. FC Köln | 0.60 | 38% |
| Can Uzun | Eintracht Frankfurt | 0.61 | 38% |
| Michael Olise | FC Bayern München | 0.58 | 38% |
| Luis Díaz | FC Bayern München | 0.55 | 38% |
| Patrik Schick | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 0.72 | 36% |
| Nicolas Jackson | FC Bayern München | 0.69 | 35% |
Frequently asked
Does SharpXI publish a value verdict on goals?
No. Goals and assists are shown as a hit-rate record only — there is no modelled probability and no price comparison on either market. The markets SharpXI does model, and its record on them, are listed on the Bundesliga markets page and the track record.
What does 1+ goals mean?
It is a bet that the player scores at least once in the match. It is the only goals line SharpXI tracks, because scoring twice is rare enough that a season's hit rate at 2+ would carry very little weight.
SharpXI is a statistical tool, not a betting operator, and no model guarantees a result. The honest scoreboard is closing-line value over a large sample. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.