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Bundesliga 26/27
MI

Michael Olise

Winger 90% of 30 recent starts FC Bayern MünchenBundesliga 26/27

Also in: Premier League

Next match
FC Bayern München at FC Augsburg›
Sat 10 OctReferee Sven Jablonski

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Bundesliga winger, 25/26, 865 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target2.34 per 90
90%Hot
9 of 102.5×
1.18MGMEdge
Total shots4.68 per 90
100%Hot
10 of 101.6×
1.06bet365Edge
Fouls won2.92 per 90
80%Hot
8 of 101.6×
1.10bet365Edge
Fouls committed0.58 per 90
30%
3 of 100.8×
1.44bet365Edge
Tackles0.58 per 90
20%
2 of 100.4×
40%
4 of 102.9×
Cards0.29 per 90
20%
2 of 102.3×
8.00bet365Edge
Goals1.17 per 90
60%
6 of 104.3×
form only
Assists0.29 per 90
20%
2 of 101.8×
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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In 25/26, Michael Olise has hit 1+ shot on target in 81% of 32 Bundesliga appearances (26 of 32), 1+ total shot in 94%, 1+ foul committed in 56%, 1+ foul won in 78%, and been booked in 25% (8 of 32). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable wingers

The closest 5 profiles to Michael Olise in Bundesliga, 25/26 — drawn from 28 wingers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Michael OliseFC Bayern München 323.92 1.24
Luis DíazFC Bayern München 323.23 1.29
Brajan GrudaRB Leipzig 132.62 1.19
Tiago TomásVfB Stuttgart 273.03 1.04
Luca Waldschmidt1. FC Köln 243.42 1.18
Johan BakayokoRB Leipzig 202.77 1.27
These 5, combined 3.08 1.21

Recent matches

The last 10 games Michael Olise featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
1. FC Union Berlin18 Sep 90 5 6 1 3 3 0
@ SV 07 Elversberg13 Sep 90 1 4 0 4 0 0
@ FC Schalke 045 Sep 33 1 1 0 1 1 0
VfB Stuttgart28 Aug 90 2 6 1 1 0 0
1. FC Köln16 May 29 0 1 0 0 0 0
@ VfL Wolfsburg9 May 90 2 3 2 3 0 0
1. FC Heidenheim2 May 45 1 4 0 0 0 0
@ 1. FSV Mainz 0525 Apr 45 1 1 0 2 0 1
VfB Stuttgart19 Apr 45 2 4 0 2 0 0
@ FC St. Pauli11 Apr 59 1 2 0 4 0 1
Officials on record
Daniel Siebert 6 games Michael Olise booked in 2 4.18cards/game 1.03×vs league
Florian Exner 6 games Michael Olise booked in 2 4.81cards/game 1.18×vs league
Tobias Stieler 5 games Michael Olise booked in 2 3.42cards/game 0.84×vs league
Florian Badstubner 4 games Michael Olise booked in 2 3.48cards/game 0.86×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 14 current Bundesliga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Bundesliga referees

Frequently asked

How often does Michael Olise have a shot on target?

In 25/26, Michael Olise has hit 1+ shot on target in 81% of 32 Bundesliga appearances (26 of 32). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Michael Olise average?

Across 32 Bundesliga appearances in 25/26, Michael Olise is averaging 1.94 shots on target and 3.92 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Michael Olise get booked?

Michael Olise is averaging 0.31 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Michael Olise commit or win more fouls?

This season Michael Olise commits 1.24 fouls per 90 and wins 2.25 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Michael Olise?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Michael Olise plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.