What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Bundesliga winger, 25/26, 865 appearances
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In 25/26, Luis Díaz has hit 1+ shot on target in 69% of 32 Bundesliga appearances (22 of 32), 1+ total shot in 94%, 1+ foul committed in 62%, 1+ foul won in 69%, and been booked in 19% (6 of 32). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable wingers
The closest 5 profiles to Luis Díaz in Bundesliga, 25/26 — drawn from 28 wingers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Luis DíazFC Bayern München | 32 | 3.23 | 1.29 |
| Brajan GrudaRB Leipzig | 13 | 2.62 | 1.19 |
| Michael OliseFC Bayern München | 32 | 3.92 | 1.24 |
| Johan BakayokoRB Leipzig | 20 | 2.77 | 1.27 |
| Rayan PhilippeSC Paderborn 07 | 28 | 2.72 | 1.67 |
| Marco GrüllSV Werder Bremen | 33 | 1.92 | 1.47 |
| These 5, combined | 2.88 | 1.38 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Luis Díaz featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Union Berlin18 Sep | 63 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ SV 07 Elversberg13 Sep | 25 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ FC Schalke 045 Sep | 90 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| VfB Stuttgart28 Aug | 90 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 1. FC Köln16 May | 90 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ VfL Wolfsburg9 May | 30 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 1. FC Heidenheim2 May | 45 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| @ 1. FSV Mainz 0525 Apr | 45 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| VfB Stuttgart19 Apr | 45 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ FC St. Pauli11 Apr | 31 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 4 current Bundesliga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Bundesliga referees
Frequently asked
How often does Luis Díaz have a shot on target?
In 25/26, Luis Díaz has hit 1+ shot on target in 69% of 32 Bundesliga appearances (22 of 32). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Luis Díaz average?
Across 32 Bundesliga appearances in 25/26, Luis Díaz is averaging 1.36 shots on target and 3.23 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Luis Díaz get booked?
Luis Díaz is averaging 0.26 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Luis Díaz commit or win more fouls?
This season Luis Díaz commits 1.29 fouls per 90 and wins 1.40 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Luis Díaz?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Luis Díaz plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.