What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Premier League winger, 25/26, 1,770 appearances
Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox
Picked from 41 selections across 14 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.
Confirmed by a link. Unsubscribe in one click. Or open the player report.
Over the last 10 Premier League games, Luis Díaz has hit 1+ shot on target in 60% (6 of 10), 1+ total shot in 100%, 1+ foul committed in 60%, 1+ foul won in 60%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable wingers
Luis Díaz has no Premier League record yet, so this profile is drawn from the Bundesliga 25/26 season. These are the closest 5 Premier League wingers by standing within their own league — not by matching output, which does not carry across leagues. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Luis DíazFC Bayern MünchenBundesliga | 32 | 3.23 | 1.29 |
| Antoine SemenyoManchester City | 37 | 2.33 | 1.57 |
| Dango OuattaraBrentford | 32 | 2.21 | 1.07 |
| Marcus TavernierBournemouth | 34 | 2.30 | 0.99 |
| Cody GakpoLiverpool FC | 36 | 2.84 | 1.37 |
| Bryan MbeumoManchester United | 33 | 2.51 | 0.79 |
| These 5, combined | 2.44 | 1.18 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Luis Díaz featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace25 May | 69 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| @ Brighton19 May | 27 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Arsenal11 May | 79 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Tottenham27 Apr | 76 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Leicester20 Apr | 89 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| West Ham13 Apr | 90 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| @ Fulham6 Apr | 35 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Everton2 Apr | 86 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Southampton8 Mar | 90 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Newcastle26 Feb | 87 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 10 current Premier League officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Premier League referees
Frequently asked
How often does Luis Díaz have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Premier League games, Luis Díaz has hit 1+ shot on target in 60% (6 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Luis Díaz average?
Across the last 10 Premier League games, Luis Díaz is averaging 0.99 shots on target and 2.72 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Luis Díaz get booked?
Luis Díaz is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Luis Díaz commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Luis Díaz commits 0.99 fouls per 90 and wins 0.87 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Luis Díaz?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Luis Díaz plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.